NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Slight Risk Areas: TONIGHT FOR CNTRL & NRN MT AND NWRN ND
Slight Risk Areas: THIS EVENING FOR FAR ERN NM AND W TX
– For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

New: The SPC Mesoanalysis Page now has an option to incorporate the experimental ESRL Rapid Refresh version 2 (RAPv2) model as background input for the mesoanalysis fields, in addition to the current operational NCEP Rapid Refresh (RAP) model. (Updated: April 30 2013)

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Wed (06/19)	Thu (06/20)	Fri (06/21)	Sat (06/22)	Sun (06/23)	Mon (06/24)	Tue (06/25)	Wed (06/26)
Severe	Slight	Slight	Slight	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 20 Jun

Tornado Probabilities: 20 Jun

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 20 Jun

Severe Hail Probabilities: 20 Jun

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 20 Jun

Significant Wind Probabilities: 20 Jun

Significant Hail Probabilities: 20 Jun

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


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Full-size plot here.

Did You Know?

Find out the difference between a severe weather Watch and Warning here.

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2013 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: June 19 2013 12:17 UTC

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Tornado Safety Tips.

Latest SPC Publications

Edwards, R., J.G. LaDue, J.T. Ferree, K. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W.L. Coulbourne, 2013: Tornado Intensity Estimation: Past, Present and Future. Published in Bulletin of the AMS.
Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured Severe Convective Wind Climatology and Associated Convective Modes of Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States, 2003-09. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective Modes for Significant Severe Thunderstorms in the Contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS Tornado Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Jun 18, 2013	Tornado: 3	Wind: 67	Hail: 63

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