MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1429
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0252 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CO FRONT RANGE INTO NERN NM
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 041952Z - 042145Z
   
   STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE CO FRONT RANGE AND INTO
   NERN NM...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...A WATCH IS
   LIKELY NOT NEEDED.
   
   SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A RIDGE IN PLACE OVER ERN CO...WITH N TO NELY
   SURFACE WINDS...GRADUALLY VEERING TO ELY. THIS COMBINED WITH 30 KT
   MID LEVEL FLOW IS RESULTING IN ENOUGH SHEAR FOR SOME STORM
   ORGANIZATION. WINDS IN THE LOWEST 3KM BACK WITH HEIGHT AND ARE WEAK.
   THUS...STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS RESULT...ACTUALLY FAVORING LEFT
   MOVERS OVER RIGHT MOVERS. BOTH MAY PRODUCE HAIL LESS THAN 1.00".
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/04/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   35900513 37980522 39320524 40640565 41080544 41060447
               40670403 39230350 38120337 37280344 36450374 36130391
               35890415 35830443 35900513