Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 Outlook >
Feb 13, 2012 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 13 12:35:02 UTC 2012  (Print Version)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 131230
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0630 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012
   
   VALID 131300Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS WILL
   MINOR OUT AS IT PROGRESSES EWD TOWARD THE OH/TN VALLEY REGION. IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROUGH...A SLY LLJ WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE SRN
   PLAINS TOWARD THE SERN STATES WHILE GRADUALLY VEERING AND WEAKENING
   TONIGHT. WAA AND MOISTURE ADVECTION ATTENDANT TO THE LLJ WILL
   SUPPORT AN EWD-MOVING SECTOR OF WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM ERN TX EWD TOWARD FAR WRN GA AND THE WRN
   FL PANHANDLE. AS A WEAK SFC WAVE DEVELOPS INVOF THE TX COAST AND
   TRACKS ENEWD TOWARD SERN MS...A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY BRUSH ACROSS
   THE MIDDLE/UPPER TX COAST AND LA COAST OWING TO STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND
   DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER...INLAND PENETRATION OF ANY
   APPRECIABLE SFC-BASED BUOYANCY IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THUS NO SVR
   STORMS ARE CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED OVER INLAND AREAS AND THE ADJACENT
   COASTAL WATERS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
   
   FARTHER WEST...A MID-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE SSEWD ACROSS PARTS OF CA
   AND NV TOWARD THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...WITH COLD MID-LEVEL
   TEMPERATURES /500-MB TEMPS OF -30C TO -27C/ AND STEEP LAPSE RATES
   ACCOMPANYING THE LOW. AND...WITH ADEQUATE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE
   COMBINED EFFECTS OF DCVA AND OROGRAPHIC ASCENT...A FEW WEAK
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN
   AND THE SACRAMENTO AND SAN JOAQUIN VALLEYS OF CNTRL CA...MAINLY
   DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
   
   ..COHEN/MEAD.. 02/13/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z

        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: February 13, 2012
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities