Nov 24, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 24 16:06:15 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091124 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091124 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Tornado Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091124 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091124 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 241603
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1003 AM CST TUE NOV 24 2009
   
   VALID 241630Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...CNTRL/S FL...
   SCTD MAINLY DIURNAL STORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INVOF AND S OF 
   WEAK W-E FRONT LOCATED E/W CENTRAL FL PENINSULA...WHERE SBCAPE WILL
   APPROACH 1000-1500 J/KG.  RELATIVELY WEAK LOW TO
   MID LVL SHEAR AND MODEST LAPSE RATES SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SVR
   THREAT TODAY.  HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY MOVE INTO/DEVELOP
   ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT/EARLY WED AS WIND FIELD/WAA
   STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF APPROACHING MID/HIGH LEVEL GULF IMPULSE. 
   COUPLED WITH BACKED LOW-LVL FLOW...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW DISCRETE OR
   SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS.  THESE COULD POSE A LOW CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR
   AN ISOLD TORNADO EARLY WED.
   
   ..HALES/BOTHWELL.. 11/24/2009
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z