SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 545
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN ARKANSAS
          EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI
          EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF WALNUT RIDGE
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALONG EWD
   TRACKING MCS OUTFLOW MOVING INTO HOT/UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM ERN OK
   ACROSS NRN AR THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE LIMITED MID-LEVEL
   FLOW...SUFFICIENT LIFT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL...AND
   STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO DAMAGING WIND
   POTENTIAL AS STORMS MOVE/DEVELOP EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28015.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 545
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN ARKANSAS
          EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI
          EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF WALNUT RIDGE
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALONG EWD
   TRACKING MCS OUTFLOW MOVING INTO HOT/UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM ERN OK
   ACROSS NRN AR THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE LIMITED MID-LEVEL
   FLOW...SUFFICIENT LIFT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL...AND
   STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO DAMAGING WIND
   POTENTIAL AS STORMS MOVE/DEVELOP EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28015.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 545
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN ARKANSAS
          EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI
          EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF WALNUT RIDGE
   ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALONG EWD
   TRACKING MCS OUTFLOW MOVING INTO HOT/UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM ERN OK
   ACROSS NRN AR THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE LIMITED MID-LEVEL
   FLOW...SUFFICIENT LIFT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL...AND
   STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO DAMAGING WIND
   POTENTIAL AS STORMS MOVE/DEVELOP EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28015.
   
   
   ...CARBIN

   WOUS64 KWNS 041723
   WOU5
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 545
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 545 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC005-009-015-023-029-033-047-049-063-065-067-071-075-083-087-
   089-101-115-121-127-129-131-135-137-141-149-050100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0545.090704T1730Z-090705T0100Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BAXTER               BOONE               CARROLL             
   CLEBURNE             CONWAY              CRAWFORD            
   FRANKLIN             FULTON              INDEPENDENCE        
   IZARD                JACKSON             JOHNSON             
   LAWRENCE             LOGAN               MADISON             
   MARION               NEWTON              POPE                
   RANDOLPH             SCOTT               SEARCY              
   SEBASTIAN            SHARP               STONE               
   VAN BUREN            YELL                
   
   
   MOC091-149-153-050100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0545.090704T1730Z-090705T0100Z/
   
   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   HOWELL               OREGON              OZARK               
   
   
   OKC061-077-079-091-121-127-135-050100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0545.090704T1730Z-090705T0100Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   HASKELL              LATIMER             LE FLORE            
   MCINTOSH             PITTSBURG           PUSHMATAHA          
   SEQUOYAH             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...MEG...
   
   
   

   SAW5 
   WW 545 SEVERE TSTM AR MO OK 041730Z - 050100Z
   AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   50SSW MKO/MUSKOGEE OK/ - 25N ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /10NNE MLC - 23N ARG/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.
   
   LAT...LON 35659570 37139093 35849093 34349570
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.
   

Watch 545 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 545

VALID 050035Z - 050100Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W MKO TO
5 SSW RUE.

WW 545 MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY TO 03Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION 
SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1436.

..PETERS..07/05/09

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 545 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC083-127-131-149-050100-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LOGAN		     SCOTT		 SEBASTIAN	     
YELL		     
$$


OKC061-077-079-121-127-135-050100-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
PITTSBURG	     PUSHMATAHA 	 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 545

VALID 042340Z - 050040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W MKO TO
5 SSW RUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1433.

..PETERS..07/04/09

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 545 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC083-127-131-149-050040-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LOGAN		     SCOTT		 SEBASTIAN	     
YELL		     
$$


OKC061-077-079-121-127-135-050040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
PITTSBURG	     PUSHMATAHA 	 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 545

VALID 042240Z - 042340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W MKO TO
5 SSW RUE.

..PETERS..07/04/09

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 545 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC083-127-131-149-042340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LOGAN		     SCOTT		 SEBASTIAN	     
YELL		     
$$


OKC061-077-079-121-127-135-042340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
PITTSBURG	     PUSHMATAHA 	 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 545

VALID 042140Z - 042240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W MKO TO
5 SSW RUE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430.

..PETERS..07/04/09

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 545 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC083-127-131-149-042240-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LOGAN		     SCOTT		 SEBASTIAN	     
YELL		     
$$


OKC061-077-079-121-127-135-042240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
PITTSBURG	     PUSHMATAHA 	 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 545

VALID 042025Z - 042140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W MKO TO
5 SSW RUE.

..SPC..07/04/09

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SGF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 545 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC083-127-131-149-042140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LOGAN		     SCOTT		 SEBASTIAN	     
YELL		     
$$


OKC061-077-079-091-121-127-135-042140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HASKELL 	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
MCINTOSH	     PITTSBURG		 PUSHMATAHA	     
SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.