ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 240744
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND WEST
A mid-level low will deepen as it moves from the Missouri Valley to
the Great Lakes through tonight. In tandem with this low, another
shortwave trough dropping southward along the Pacific Northwest
coast will help maintain broad cyclonic flow across much of the
Southwest and southern Plains.
The surface pattern will feature high pressure building southward
across much of the Plains states, as a cold front pushes southeast
towards the Gulf Coast.
...Portions of the southern Plains and southern/central New
Despite the passage of the aforementioned cold front, diurnal
heating and downslope warming should still increase temperatures
sufficiently for RH values to fall into the single digits and teens
across much of New Mexico and southern/western Texas. Continued
enhancement of west/southwesterly flow aloft will maintain gusty
surface conditions as well, bolstering the fire-weather threat.
Across parts of New Mexico and west Texas, sustained west winds
around 20-30 mph and RH values below 10-15 percent will create
critical fire-weather concerns. The ongoing critical area was
contracted slightly across parts of west Texas (primarily the
eastern portion of the LUB CWA), as weaker winds are expected near a
trough axis oriented from northeast New Mexico southeastward to
Farther south, brief critical concerns may be realized across parts
of the Texas Brush Country, as sustained northwesterly winds
increase to around 15-20 mph amidst RH values below 15 percent.
However, confidence in a sufficient duration of critical conditions
remains too low for an upgrade at this time. Nonetheless, rapid
fire-spread potential will exist here as well.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)