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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
May 25, 2016 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Wed May 25 15:26:02 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20160525 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20160525 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 76,053 2,197,014 El Paso, TX...Tucson, AZ...Las Cruces, NM...Casas Adobes, AZ...Catalina Foothills, AZ...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251521

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1021 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

   VALID 251700Z - 261200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SERN
   AZ...ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...

   NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ARE NEEDED. SEE DISCUSSION BELOW
   FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

   ..LEITMAN.. 05/25/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0239 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE MID LEVELS...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING WIND-SPEED
   MAXIMUM WILL TRACK EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SWRN STATES. ENHANCED
   SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXTEND DOWNSTREAM OF THE TROUGH TO THE N SIDE
   OF A RIDGE OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. A WAVY...
   N/S-ORIENTED DRYLINE WILL OSCILLATE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS AND VICINITY.

   ...PORTIONS OF SERN AZ...ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...
   TO THE W OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DRYLINE...DEEP VERTICAL MIXING WILL
   MANIFEST ENHANCED FLOW ALOFT AT THE SFC TO SUPPORT SWLY TO WSWLY
   WINDS OF 20-30 MPH. AMIDST A DRY ANTECEDENT BOUNDARY LAYER...AND
   GIVEN AREAS OF DOWNSLOPE-FLOW-ENCOURAGED WARMING/DRYING...RH AROUND
   5-12 PERCENT WILL COMBINE WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED WINDS AND DRY
   FUELS TO SUPPORT A CRITICAL AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION.

   ELEVATED TO BORDERLINE-CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
   IN THE SURROUNDING ELEVATED AREA...WHERE CONFIDENCE IN CRITICALLY
   STRONG WINDS OCCURRING ON ANY MORE THAN A BRIEF/SPOTTY BASIS IS
   LIMITED IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONGER LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DESPITE
   ANTICIPATED LOW RH.

   ALSO...ELEVATED TO CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS COULD EXTEND
   TO THE E OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREAS -- INTO PARTS OF THE TX/OK
   PANHANDLES...TX S PLAINS...AND VICINITY. HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE FUEL
   CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD OWING TO FUEL GREEN-UP PRECLUDES
   FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS IN THESE AREAS.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: May 25, 2016
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