Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Fri May 27 16:08:02 UTC 2016 (20160527 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20160527 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 271604

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1104 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

   VALID 271700Z - 281200Z

   NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOING ELEVATED AREA ACROSS PARTS
   OF NM AND FAR W TX. SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE
   DETAILS.

   ..GLEASON.. 05/27/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0311 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WRN CONUS...WITH
   AN EMBEDDED MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX MOVING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. A
   DRYLINE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO THE LOWER SRN/CNTRL
   PLAINS...MAINTAINING A DRY AIR MASS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND
   SOUTHWEST. FARTHER N...A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED
   ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE MID-MO VALLEY...WHILE A WARM FRONT
   ADVANCES NWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.

   ...PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...
   MODERATELY STRONG LOW-MIDLEVEL WLY FLOW WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF
   A MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX MOVING INTO THE SRN PLAINS. DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS
   WITHIN THIS REGIME WILL SUPPORT VERY DEEP DIURNAL BOUNDARY-LAYER
   MIXING TO THE W OF A DRYLINE POSITIONED OVER WRN OK AND N TX DURING
   THE AFTERNOON. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST SUSTAINED
   WIND SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH RH VALUES OF 5-10 PERCENT
   DURING PEAK HEATING...SUPPORTING AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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