Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Wed Jun 29 08:51:02 UTC 2016 (20160629 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20160629 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290847

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST WILL SLOWLY
   DE-AMPLIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD...AS A TROUGH DEEPENS SLIGHTLY ALONG
   THE WEST COAST. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SHOULD REMAIN ESTABLISHED FROM
   THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE TN VALLEY.

   ...PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES...
   ON THE FRINGE OF DEEPER MONSOONAL MOISTURE OVER THE DESERT
   SOUTHWEST...DRY-THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A CONCERN
   TODAY. ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN...PW VALUES AROUND 0.7-0.9
   INCHES WILL FAVOR A MIX OF WET/DRY MODES. DESPITE SLOW STORM
   MOTIONS...DEEP/WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER PROFILES AND RECEPTIVE
   FUELS WILL ENHANCE FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS. 

   FARTHER NORTH ACROSS PARTS OF ID/MT/WY...LOWER PW VALUES WILL RESULT
   IN REDUCED STORM COVERAGE. HOWEVER...ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP
   OVER HIGHER TERRAIN BY AFTERNOON...AND BRISK STORM MOTIONS WILL
   COMBINE WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION CORES TO INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
   FIRE IGNITION/SPREAD. 

   ...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
   GUSTY NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL MATERIALIZE LATER TODAY INTO
   THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF KERN...VENTURA...AND LOS
   ANGELES COUNTIES. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY...WITH RH VALUES REMAINING
   IN THE TEENS AND 20S...WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS TO RESULT IN AT
   LEAST LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS. IF CONFIDENCE IN A
   GREATER DURATION OF WINDY/DRY CONDITIONS INCREASES...AN ELEVATED
   DESIGNATION MAY BE NEEDED.

   ..PICCA.. 06/29/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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