Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sun Jan 22 07:24:02 UTC 2017 (20170122 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20170122 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 27,238 1,350,015 Corpus Christi, TX...Harlingen, TX...Mission, TX...Pharr, TX...Edinburg, TX...

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220719

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0119 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid/upper closed low will slide east across the Gulf Coast states,
   deepening as it reaches Georgia/Carolinas and a strong jet streak
   rotates around its southeastern periphery. In its wake, strong
   northwesterly 850-700 mb flow will overspread much of southern
   Texas, as heights build across the Desert Southwest. At the surface,
   a low will rapidly transit east from Arkansas to the southern
   Appalachians.

   ...Portions of southern Texas and the southern high Plains...
   High pressure building into the southwest states will combine with
   the deepening low over the southeast to strengthen the surface
   pressure gradient considerably across much of the southern Plains.
   Northwesterly winds sustained around 30-35 mph will develop over
   much of southern and central Texas, while winds will be slightly
   lower over western Texas and eastern New Mexico. Deep mixing will
   encourage strong gusts upwards of 50 mph, primarily across southern
   Texas. Related downslope warming/drying will lead to widespread RH
   values below 20-25 percent as well. Fuels will likely have dried
   sufficiently to support critical fire-weather concerns over southern
   Texas, especially considering the strength of the flow. To the
   northwest, lower winds (20-25 mph sustained) and more marginal fuels
   should keep fire-weather concerns at elevated levels.

   ..Picca.. 01/22/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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