Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sun Aug 31 16:42:14 UTC 2014 (20140831 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20140831 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 311641

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

   VALID 311700Z - 011200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   NO LARGE SCALE FIRE WEATHER AREAS EXPECTED.

   ...A PORTION OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY IN SRN CA ALONG THE SANTA YNEZ
   RANGE...
   FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY ACROSS SRN CA WITH ONGOING EXCEPTIONAL LONG
   TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  A WEAK SUNDOWNER/WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
   AGAIN LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR A FEW HOURS.  IT WILL BE HOT AND
   VERY DRY TODAY IN LOWER ELEVATIONS OVER PORTIONS OF SRN CA AND IN
   PARTICULAR ALONG WITH SLOPES OF THE SANTA YNEZ RANGE.  HIGHS WILL BE
   IN THE 90S WITH HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT AND A FEW HOURS
   OF WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH ALONG THE SLOPES...PRODUCING
   A FEW HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

   ..BOTHWELL.. 08/31/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0228 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CNTRL ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN SWD INTO THE
   CNTRL ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD. SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED
   WITHIN THIS LARGER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS FROM THE NRN GREAT BASIN EWD
   ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES AND INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS...REACHING THE
   UPPER MS VALLEY BY 12Z/MON. SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED
   OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WITH SOME MODEST WEAKENING OF ITS NE EXTENT
   EXPECTED AS A REMANENT TROPICAL WAVE PROGRESSES FROM THE OH VALLEY
   INTO THE NORTHEAST.

   CURRENT /06Z/ SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A LOW OVER WRN SD. THIS LOW IS
   EXPECTED TO MOVE NEWD THROUGHOUT THE DAY WHILE ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS
   OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH. BY 00Z/MON...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND BETWEEN THESE TWO
   LOWS...FROM NRN MN SWWD INTO WRN KS...WITH NUMEROUS TSTMS EXPECTED
   ALONG THIS BOUNDARY /SEE DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FOR MORE
   INFORMATION REGARDING POSSIBLE SVR TSTMS/.

   SOME GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST/SRN
   HIGH PLAINS BUT THESE WINDS WILL BE DISSOCIATED FROM THE DRY FUELS
   AND LOW RH VALUES ACROSS THE WRN GREAT BASIN. FIRE WEATHER THREAT
   WILL BE LOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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