Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sun Feb 26 07:50:06 UTC 2017 (20170226 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20170226 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 17,909 637,150 Las Cruces, NM...Socorro, TX...

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 260743

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0143 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS TRANS-PECOS
   AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad mid/upper-level cyclonic flow will persist across much of the
   contiguous US today, with a channel of enhanced westerlies from the
   Desert Southwest to the Mid-Atlantic. Embedded within this flow, a
   jet maximum will progress from the southern California coast to the
   southern high Plains during the day. Strengthening westerly flow
   will promote weak lee troughing from the Big Bend northward to the
   plains of eastern Colorado. Meanwhile, ridging will shift offshore
   the southeast US.

   ...Portions of southern/eastern New Mexico and west Texas...
   Some modest enhancement of the surface pressure gradient, combined
   with strengthening flow aloft, will lead to another day of breezy
   conditions across parts of the region. Sustained southwesterly winds
   around 20-30 mph, with higher gusts, are expected across the upper
   Trans-Pecos. Surrounding this area, winds around 15-20 mph will be
   common. Downslope warming/drying and deep mixing within an
   antecedent dry air mass will yield RH values around 10-15 percent by
   afternoon across most of the region. As such, critical fire-weather
   concerns are anticipated near parts of the upper Trans-Pecos, with
   elevated concerns extending from the Big Bend northward to the
   southwest Texas Panhandle.

   ..Picca.. 02/26/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home