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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3 - 8 FW Outlook >
Nov 25, 2014 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 25 19:22:03 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20141125 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20141125 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 251920

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0120 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

   NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. CONSIDERED A CRITICAL AREA FOR
   PORTIONS OF SAN DIEGO/RIVERSIDE COS...BUT MOST DETERMINISTIC AND
   ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE INDICATE MARGINAL PRES GRADIENT STRENGTH AND
   RESULTANT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 15-20 MPH. THEREFORE...AFTER
   COLLABORATION WITH SGX...WILL CONTINUE WITH JUST THE ELEVATED
   DELINEATION. NONETHELESS...LOCALIZED CRITICAL CRITERIA WILL LIKELY
   BE REALIZED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS OF SAN
   DIEGO AND RIVERSIDE COS...WHERE POOR RH RECOVERY AND SUSTAINED WINDS
   AROUND 20-30 MPH /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ WILL BE POSSIBLE.

   ..PICCA.. 11/25/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0243 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EWD WHILE AN
   EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE MOVES QUICKLY NEWD FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES
   THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC. ANOTHER EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVEL
   FROM THE MID MO RIVER VALLEY SEWD THROUGH THE TN RIVER VALLEY. UPPER
   RIDGE OVER CA AND NV WILL DAMPEN AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE
   PACIFIC NW. 

   AT THE SURFACE...LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEAD SHORTWAVE WILL DEEPEN
   SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT TRAVELS NNEWD ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD. RIDGE
   EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT BASIN SEWD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS WILL
   REMAIN IN PLACE WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING.

   ...COASTAL RANGES AND FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA...
   TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN ON TUESDAY
   WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S AND MIN RH VALUES LESS THAN 10
   PERCENT. POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TUESDAY
   NIGHT...RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD WITH RH VALUES LESS THAN 15
   PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER THAN ON TUESDAY AS A
   RESULT OF THE WEAKER OFFSHORE GRADIENT WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND
   20 MPH. AS A RESULT...CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE AREA ARE
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. WIDESPREAD ELEVATED
   CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH LOCALLY CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SAN DIEGO
   COUNTY.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: November 25, 2014
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