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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3-8 FW Outlook >
Oct 24, 2014 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 24 17:41:03 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20141024 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20141024 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 241556

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1056 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

   ADDED AN ELEVATED RISK AREA THIS UPDATE ACROSS PARTS OF NWRN NV AND
   FAR E-CNTRL CA.

   ...NWRN NV...FAR E-CNTRL CA...
   A STRONG MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX ACCOMPANYING AN APPROACHING PACIFIC
   UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THE WRN GREAT BASIN DURING PEAK
   HEATING. THE COMBINATION OF AMPLE BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING AND A
   TIGHTENING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT IN RESPONSE TO PRESSURE FALLS OVER
   THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST AND AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL
   SUPPORT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH AND GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH.
   PRIMARY FACTOR LIMITING A CRITICAL RISK AREA WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW
   RH VALUES...WHICH ARE GENERALLY FORECAST TO RANGE BETWEEN 15-20
   PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. LONG-TERM DROUGHT ACROSS THE AREA IN
   COMBINATION WITH THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE FOR AN ELEVATED
   RISK AREA...WITH PERHAPS SPOTTY/BRIEF CRITICAL CONDITIONS OCCURRING
   IN LOCATIONS WITH SUFFICIENTLY LOW RH.

   ..ROGERS.. 10/24/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0346 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   CONUS ON SATURDAY WHILE A TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE WEST COAST.  AT THE
   SURFACE...A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
   AND DEVELOP EWD TOWARD THE NRN ROCKIES WHILE A SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING
   COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.  WINDY CONDITIONS
   /SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AOA 20 MPH/ WILL PRECEDE AND FOLLOW FRONTAL
   PASSAGE ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN...HOWEVER...THE
   LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE TOO MARGINAL/MOIST ACROSS THIS REGION TO
   WARRANT HIGHLIGHTING FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: October 24, 2014
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