Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Mon Mar 19 16:26:02 UTC 2018 (20180319 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20180319 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   FNUS22 KWNS 191624

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1124 AM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018

   Valid 201200Z - 211200Z


   The previous forecast is on track and no changes are needed. See
   discussion below for more details.

   ..Leitman.. 03/19/2018

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0130 AM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018/

   A shortwave trough will move eastward across the Southeast on Day
   2/Tuesday, while an upper ridge persists over the western CONUS. At
   the surface, high pressure will be in place over much of the Plains
   in the wake of an earlier cold front. Some modest lee cyclogenesis
   appears possible across the southern High Plains as a low-amplitude
   shortwave trough moves through the upper ridge, and a lee surface
   trough should extend southward from the low across the southern High

   ...Portions of the Southern High Plains...
   Locally elevated conditions may occur Tuesday afternoon across a
   small part of east-central NM as modestly enhanced mid-level winds
   become diurnally mixed the surface and the pressure gradient
   strengthens slightly with the development of the lee trough. Given
   an antecedent dry airmass, RH values should fall into the 10-15% by
   peak afternoon heating, and sustained westerly winds up to 15 mph
   appear possible. A small elevated area may be needed in a future
   update if forecast winds strengthen any further.

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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