Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Sun May 19 17:19:03 UTC 2013
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Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 191718
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SRN NM INTO W TX...
NO CHANGES NEEDED. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.
..MOSIER.. 05/19/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0224 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
...FAR SRN NM INTO W TX...
A NARROW AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ON MONDAY. A SIMILAR SET UP IS EXPECTED
TO THAT ON DAY 1/SUNDAY. STRONG HEATING AND BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
BEHIND A DRYLINE WILL LEAD TO LOW RH VALUES FROM 6-12 PERCENT. W/SW
WINDS AHEAD OF A SWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT...ENHANCED BY STRONG DEEP
LAYER WESTERLIES THROUGH THE BASE OF SRN ROCKIES/PLAINS
TROUGH...WILL REACH 15-25 MPH.
...CNTRL NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE...
BRIEFLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP FOR AN HOUR OR TWO TO THE
NORTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA. HOWEVER...STRONGER DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL
BE FURTHER REMOVED FROM THIS AREA AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY.
ADDITIONALLY...DEPENDING ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD
FRONT TRACKS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...RH VALUES MAY BE MORE MARGINAL
AS WELL FROM 10-20 PERCENT.
...SW CA MOUNTAINS...
A BRIEF OFFSHORE WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED MONDAY AS SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE ACROSS THIS PART OF THE STATE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING TO SINK S/SEWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN. WIND
SPEEDS AROUND 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
FAVORED CANYONS AND PASSES BEGINNING EARLY IN THE MORNING BEFORE
WEAKENING DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES
FROM 12-18 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED...LEADING TO AN ELEVATED THREAT
WHERE FUELS ARE DRY.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...