Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sun Jan 25 17:31:02 UTC 2015 (20150125 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20150125 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 251730

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1130 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...SRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
   TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOW 70S -- 20 TO 30 DEGREES
   ABOVE AVERAGE -- ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...WITH RESULTANT RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 25 PERCENT.
   LOCALIZED AREAS OF SUB-20 PERCENT RH VALUES ARE
   POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SW NEB AND WRN KS WHERE GREATER
   DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DRIER SURFACE CONDITIONS. THE
   STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BE A BIT FARTHER E /MID MO
   VALLEY/ RESULTING IN A DISSOCIATION BETWEEN THE LOWEST RH VALUES AND
   BEST MID/UPPER SUPPORT FOR STRONG SURFACE WINDS. CURRENT GUIDANCE
   SUGGEST SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE AROUND 15 MPH WITH ISOLATED AREAS
   REACHING 20 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH A LOCALLY
   ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT BUT WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONDITIONS ARE
   NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...PRECLUDING THE NEED TO INTRODUCE ANY
   THREAT DELINEATIONS WITH THIS UPDATE.

   ..MOSIER.. 01/25/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE OVERALL MID/UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED AS A STOUT
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NE ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD AND RIDGING BUILDS
   EAST TOWARDS THE PLAINS. ALONG THE WEST COAST...A TROUGH OF LOW PRES
   WILL PROGRESS ONSHORE LATE IN THE PERIOD.

   ACROSS THE SRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...NWLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP
   AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSITS S/E FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES/NRN
   PLAINS TOWARDS THE MIDWEST. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL AID IN TEMPS RISING
   WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MIN RH VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 20-30
   PERCENT RANGE. WHILE LOCALIZED ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE
   WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON...LOW
   RH/STRONG WINDS/RECEPTIVE FUELS ARE NOT LIKELY TO OVERLAP ON A
   WIDESPREAD BASIS. AS SUCH...NO DELINEATION IS NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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