Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Tue Aug 4 08:46:03 UTC 2015 (20150804 0700Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20150804 0700Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040842

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0342 AM CDT TUE AUG 04 2015

   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-LEVEL CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING INTO THE NWRN CONUS
   THROUGH THE D2/WED PERIOD...WHILE THE FLOW ON ITS SRN PERIPHERY
   ENCOURAGES THE ENEWD MIGRATION OF AN IMPULSE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
   NRN/CNTRL GREAT BASIN TO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. WHILE DRY-TSTM
   POTENTIAL WILL NOT ENTIRELY BE NEGLIGIBLE...SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS
   IMPULSE MAY LIMIT THE COVERAGE OF DRY-THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON
   D2/WED SUCH THAT RELATED FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS HAVE NOT BEEN
   INCLUDED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...MODESTLY ENHANCED FLOW ASSOCIATED
   WITH THE CYCLONE WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM
   PARTS OF CNTRL/ERN WA INTO N-CNTRL ORE. ELSEWHERE...A MID-LEVEL
   ANTICYCLONE WILL PERSIST OVER THE SWRN CONUS...WHILE CYCLONIC FLOW
   CONTINUES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.

   ...PARTS OF CNTRL/ERN WA INTO N-CNTRL ORE...
   SIMILAR TO D1/TUE...SWLY TO WLY SFC WINDS AROUND 10-20 MPH ARE
   EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH DOWNSLOPE-FLOW-ENHANCED WARMING/DRYING
   SUPPORTING MINIMUM RH VALUES FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO THE 20S ON
   D2/WED. THIS WILL YIELD ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS GIVEN
   DRY/VERY DRY FUELS. THERE WILL EXIST SOME POTENTIAL FOR
   BORDERLINE-CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS TO MATERIALIZE ON A
   BRIEF/SPOTTY BASIS NEAR THE COLUMBIA RIVER. HOWEVER...THE LACK OF
   STRONGER LOW-LEVEL FLOW LIMITS CONFIDENCE IN ANY MORE THAN
   SHORT-DURATION/LOCALIZED/MARGINAL CRITICAL CONDITIONS...PRECLUDING
   CRITICAL DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME.

   ..COHEN.. 08/04/2015

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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