MCS1_SFCOAPARAMS = (0000,55,XX,1.5)
(0100,30,XX,1.0)
(0200,25,XX,1.5)
(0300,20,25,1.0)
(0400,10,20,0.5)
(0500,10,15,0.5)
(0600,10,10,1.0)
(0700,05,20,1.0)
(0800,00,20,0.5)
(0900,05,25,0.5)
MCS1_SFCOACOMMENTS = ...COMMENTS...

THE RUC ANALYSIS WAS USED THE PROXY FOR THE SFCOA

EVEN THOUGH THE VALUES WERE FAIRLY LOW FOR THE MAINTENENCE
PARAMETER, IT HAD ITS AXIS VALUES ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE LINE
AXIS.  THE ANALYSIS DID NOT PICK UP ON THE STRENTHENING AND
ACCELERATION OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE AS IT WAS MOVING
INTO NORTHWESTERN MO.  THE AXIS OF HIGHER PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED
WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE MOVED EASTWARD WITH
TIME...APPARENTLY FOLLOWING PROGRESSIVE FEATURES.  THE PROBABILITIES
WERE MORE CONSTANT WITH TIME ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE.
 

THE PROBABILITIES OF THE SPEED PARAMETER INCREASED IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE ACCELERATION OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE.  
MCS1_RUCDAY = 20050718
MCS1_RUCTIME = 00
MCS1_RUCPARAMS = (0000,55,30,1.5)
(0100,55,25,2.0)
(0200,45,25,2.0)
(0300,50,25,2.5)
(0400,50,25,2.5)
(0500,40,25,2.5)
(0600,30,25,1.5)
(0700,30,30,1.5)
(0800,25,30,1.0)
(0900,20,30,1.0)
(1000,15,20,0.5)
MCS1_RUCCOMMENTS = ...COMMENTS...

FOR THE SPEED PARAMETER WE USED THE 21Z RUC FORECAST SINCE THE 00Z
RUC FORECAST FIELD WAS NOT AVAILABLE. 

CONCERNING THE MAINTENENCE PARAMETER...THE VALUE AXIS APPEARS TO BE
ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE LINE WITH THE LINE INITIATING ALONG THE
AXIS OF HIGHEST VALUES.  WITH TIME THE LARGEST VALUES BECOME
ORIENTED BEHIND THE LINE AND THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE
DISSAPATES AROUND 05Z AS IT RUNS INTO THE 40 PERCENT CONTOUR.  IT IS
WORTH NOTING THAT THE PROBABILITY VALUES INCREASE IN WI AND NERN IA
AFTER THE LINE DISSIPATES.   IT MAY BE THE LINE DISSAPATED BECAUSE
IT RAN THROUGH THE   SHARP GRADIENT OF SHEAR VALUES INTO LOW VALUES
AROUND ONLY 25 KT. THE FORECAST LARGE SHEAR VALUES DID MOVE ON INTO
WI WITH TIME BUT NO LINE REDEVELOPED.  (RESEARCH THIS LATER)  ALONG
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE THE VALUES REMAIN MORE CONSTANT
WITH TIME AND THE LINE DISSAPATES AS IT MOVED INTO A REGION WITH
VALUES LESS THAN 20 PERCENT AFTER 0930Z.

CONCERNING THE SPEED PARAMETER (WHICH IS BASED ON THE 21Z RUC) THE
ONLY THING WORTH NOTING AN AXIS OF HIGHER VALUES EXTENDED INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL IA AND NWRN MO BETWEEN 07Z AND 09Z AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE SYSTEM ACCELERATED.   THE VALUE AXIS MOVES ALONG WITH THE
LINEAR SYSTEM.

CONCERNING THE DERECHO PARAMETER THE LARGEST VALUES WERE WITH THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PART OF THE LINE BETWEEN 03Z AND 07Z WHICH
CORRESPONDS WITH THE ISOLATED SEVERE WIND REPORTS THAT WERE
RECEIVED.    
THE VALUES NEVER GOT GREATER THAN 3 AS ANY ONE TIME.