SPC MCD 160912
NEZ000-SDZ000-KSZ000-161115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1575
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NEB AND NCNTRL KS.
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 160912Z - 161115Z
TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS MOST OF NEB AND PERHAPS
EXTREME NCNTRL KS THROUGH DAYBREAK. AT LEAST ISOLD LARGE HAIL AND
DMGG WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED.

NOCTURNAL TSTMS HAVE INITIATED IN TWO ZONES EARLY THIS MORNING.
FAST MOVING STORMS MOVING OUT OF SRN SD ARE ASSOCD WITH MODEST
ASCENT ASSOCD WITH A MID-LVL IMPULSE. A SEPARATE AREA OF STORMS HAS
EVOLVED ALONG THE NOSE OF A 30 KT SLY LLJ AND ALONG EXTREME SRN
FRINGES OF THE SD IMPULSE.

THROUGH DAYBREAK...EXPECT THAT STORMS WILL INCREASE E AND NEWD FROM
SWRN NEB AND SEWD THROUGH NRN/CNTRL NEB AS LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS
INCREASE OVER THE REGION AND THE LLJ BEGINS TO VEER. EFFECTIVE
SHEAR REMAINS QUITE SUPPORTIVE OF BRIEF SUPERCELLS...THOUGH NUMBER
OF STORMS BEING GENERATED /STORM COMPETITION/ MAY ADD TO THE
RANDOMNESS OF UPDRAFT INTENSITY. NONETHELESS...MID-LVL LAPSE RATES
WERE QUITE STEEP AND STRONGER CELLS WILL YIELD LARGE HAIL.
ADDITIONALLY...KINEMATIC/THERMODYNAMIC SETUP...PARTICULARLY OVER
SWRN NEB...WILL LEAD TO A SHORT TERM THREAT FOR VERY HVY RNFL RATES.
PWATS OF 1.5-1.9 INCHES /PER GPS SENSORS/ WILL FEED INTO BACK EDGE
OF CURRENT STORMS AND BACKBUILDING/TRAINING OF STORMS WILL GIVE A
RISK OF A FEW HOURS OF 1-2 INCH PER HOUR RATES. THIS WILL
ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE IN AREAS NEAR/S OF KLBF SEWD TO JUST S OF
KLXN. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY APPROACH PARTS OF EXTREME NCNTRL
KS...BUT THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE OVER NEB.

..RACY.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 42800217 42979880 42549703 41839620 40909649 40239792
39809877 39890024 40420112 40970171 42800217
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 161604
SPC MCD 161604
MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-161730-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1576
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NY INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161604Z - 161730Z
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EWD ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATED COLD FRONT PUSHING EWD THROUGH THE LEE
OF LAKES ONTARIO AND ERIE WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT /ORIENTED
GENERALLY N-S/ SITUATED ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR UCA TO MSV TO WRN
LONG ISLAND. TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP WITHIN CURRENTLY NARROW
WARM SECTOR OVER WAYNE...CAYUGA AND ONONDAGA COUNTIES NY WHERE
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 70S...CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE
OF AROUND 1000 J/KG.

SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TODAY IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE COLD FRONT AS
IT APPROACHES THE HUDSON VALLEY. CONTINUED BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING
COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS OF 65-70 F SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN
MLCAPE TO 1000-2000 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH MODEST /30-40 KT/
UNIDIRECTIONAL...DEEP WLY SHEAR...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF LINE SEGMENTS AND ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.


..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...BUF...
LAT...LON 42677602 43897553 44477484 44497418 44137307 42847264
41767297 41267368 41417468 41887535 42677602
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 161731
SPC MCD 161731
NCZ000-SCZ000-161900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1577
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PARTS OF NC/SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 161731Z - 161900Z
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL WILL INCREASE OVER DISCUSSION AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A WW IS
NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

TSTMS HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED NEAR AND W OF SOP SWWD/SWD TO NEAR CAE
AHEAD OF A WEAK LEE TROUGH OR COLD FRONT OVER THE PIEDMONT. LONGER
RADAR LOOPS ALSO SUGGEST THAT BACKGROUND ASCENT IS POSSIBLY BEING
ENHANCED BY AN MCV OVER CNTRL NC...REMNANT FROM NOCTURNAL TSTM
COMPLEX WHICH DECAYED EARLIER TODAY OVER THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS OVER THE ERN CAROLINAS HAS WARMED THROUGH
THE 80S INTO THE LOWER 90S AND WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS OF 70-75
F...ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF
1000-2000 J/KG.

12Z HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL DATA SUGGEST THAT STORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO
CLUSTERS OR LINE SEGMENTS...EVENTUALLY REACHING THE COAST BY THIS
EVENING. AREA VWPS SHOW THAT VERTICAL SHEAR IS SOMEWHAT
MARGINAL...BUT THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND/OR HAIL.


..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...
LAT...LON 34268021 35677870 36267710 35947575 34637597 32637945
31968079 32868111 33638083 34268021
NNNNZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 161752
SPC MCD 161752
ALZ000-MSZ000-161845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1578
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL AL/MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161752Z - 161845Z
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD STRONG/SEVERE WET MICROBURSTS WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS CNTRL AL/MS. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A SWD SURGING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM 25 MI S BHM EXTENDING WSWWD TO 35 MI N OF JAN AND
DRAPING NWWD INTO SERN AR. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...SURFACE TEMPS
HAVE WARMED TO NEAR 90 UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. DESPITE ONLY
MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES DEPICTED ON 12Z JAN RAOB...VERY MOIST
PROFILE WITH LOWER TO MID 70S DEWPOINTS IS CONTRIBUTING TO 2000-3000
J/KG MLCAPE. WEAK SHEAR ACCORDING TO VWP DATA WILL LIKELY SUPPORT
ONLY PULSE-LIKE NATURE TO ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...WHEREAS SEMI-ORGANIZED SHORT MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS WILL
PROBABLY BE MAINTAINED ALONG OR JUST BEHIND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. MAIN
THREATS WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE ISOLD DMGG WIND GUSTS WITH
PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.


..SMITH.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 31858704 31748849 31838947 31958995 32279023 32639012
32828997 32848951 32948873 33218765 33418705 33468615
33388588 32888569 32238613 31858704
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 161858
SPC MCD 161858
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-162030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1579
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS / SWRN MO / NERN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161858Z - 162030Z
THE THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND/HAIL
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE
TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.

A COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN HAS EVOLVED TODAY OWING TO EFFECTS OF
OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND ONGOING STORMS. LATEST
MESOANALYSIS..RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA ALL DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ARCING FROM NEAR SZL SWWD TO E OF CNU AND S OF ICT.
THE NRN EXTENSION OF THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THEN LINKS TO A
STATIONARY BOUNDARY WHICH TRAILS SEWD INTO SERN MO /S OF STL/.
FARTHER S...ONGOING STORMS AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD CANOPY HAVE
ESTABLISHED A POCKET OF COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER NERN OK INTO NRN
AR. AS A RESULT A NARROW AXIS OF STRONGER HEATING AND RESULTANT AIR
MASS DESTABILIZATION IS PRESENT FROM NEAR THE OK/KS BORDER NEWD INTO
SWRN MO WHERE MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO 1000-1500 J/KG.
LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COUPLED WITH INFLUENCE OF
MCV OVER NWRN MO ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORMS
FROM NEAR OR JUST N OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY-STATIONARY FRONT
INTERSECTION N OF SZL SWWD INTO FAR SERN KS /E OF CNU/. THIS
ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING ALONG THE WRN/NWRN EDGE OF NARROW WARM SECTOR
/DELINEATED ABOVE/ WITH ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY OVER
PRIMARILY SWRN MO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

LOCAL PROFILERS/VWPS INDICATE MODESTLY STRONG /35-40 KT/ DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR...SUPPORTIVE OF SOME STORM ORGANIZATION. THE PRIMARY CONCERN
FOR A POSSIBLY WW ISSUANCE IS THE RELATIVELY SMALL AREA OF STRONGER
INSTABILITY WHICH WOULD SUSTAIN MORE INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 37059628 37589573 38249464 39149383 38859285 38139210
37389215 37139292 36789381 36649535 36779612 37059628
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 161919
SPC MCD 161919
ARZ000-OKZ000-162015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1580
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0219 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN OK / SWRN AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161919Z - 162015Z
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD DMGG MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS SWRN AR. ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN MAY ARISE IF TSTMS BECOME
SURFACE-BASED OVER PARTS OF SERN OK. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC HAS SHOWN TSTMS DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF AR
GENERALLY ALONG AND NEAR RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WHEREAS FURTHER
W...MID-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY DEEPENED RESULTING IN TSTMS
OVER PARTS OF ERN OK DURING THE PAST HOUR. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
WHETHER CONVECTION OVER ERN OK WILL BECOME SURFACE BASED AHEAD OF
SEEMINGLY WEAK MID-LEVEL ASCENT MOVING EWD ACROSS OK. A HOT/MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER WITH TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER-MID 90S RESIDES
ACROSS THE REGION AS A SURFACE THERMAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NRN TX
NEWD INTO SWRN AR. THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO DCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000
J/KG--SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL.

20-30 KT WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW EVIDENT ON AREA VWP DATA WILL LIKELY
SERVE TO ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION POTENTIAL. ISOLD DMGG WIND
GUSTS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS INCREASING TSTM COVERAGE
POSSIBLY LEADS TO A CONSOLIDATION OF ONE OR MORE W-E MOVING
CLUSTERS.


..SMITH.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 33889401 34179523 34299662 34509721 34699717 34809674
35019533 35209492 35389410 35319346 35029288 34449206
33909158 33459153 33179167 33069189 33089217 33229262
33709347 33889401
NNNNZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 161937
SPC MCD 161937
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-162100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1581
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SWRN KS INTO THE OK AND NRN TX PNHDLS AND
NWRN/N-CNTRL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161937Z - 162100Z
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS
DISCUSSION AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. CONVECTIVE TRENDS
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA INDICATE AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ARCING NWWD FROM N-CNTRL OK /NEAR PNC/ TO JUST W OF DDC AND
GCK. ANOTHER BOUNDARY INTERSECTED THE FORMER JUST W OF GCK BEFORE
ARCING SWWD THROUGH FAR SERN CO /S OF SPD AND TAD/. AIR MASS AHEAD
OF THESE BOUNDARIES IS EXPERIENCING NEAR FULL SOLAR INSOLATION WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. THE RICHEST BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE RESIDES ACROSS N-CNTRL INTO NWRN OK WHERE DEWPOINTS
REMAIN INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY DECREASES SLIGHTLY WITH WWD EXTENT THROUGH
THE OK/TX PNHDLS OWING TO DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES AS WARM
SECTOR AIR MASS FURTHER DESTABILIZES AND REMAINING CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION ERODES. AREA PROFILERS AND VWPS INDICATE GENERALLY WEAK
WIND FIELDS THROUGH THE LOWEST 5-6 KM AGL WHICH SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT
THE POTENTIAL FOR WELL-ORGANIZED STORM FORMATION.

NONETHELESS...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE FORMATION OF STORM
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF MAINLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GIVEN DCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG.


..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...DDC...AMA...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36070338 36410317 36900187 37090141 37300073 37390035
37029915 36769816 36709685 36259677 35929696 35689807
35660101 35590228 35780320 36070338
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162004
SPC MCD 162004
NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-162130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1582
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN PA INTO NJ...NRN DE AND THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 162004Z - 162130Z
THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL WILL EXIST ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA INTO THIS EVENING.
A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

TSTMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF WEAK PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
ERN PARTS OF NY/PA AND THE DELMARVA. AS OF 1950Z...THE MOST INTENSE
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER LUZERNE COUNTY IN FAR SERN PA WITH A MOTION
OF 270/30 KT.

AIR MASS OVER THE DE RIVER VALLEY HAS WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S AND
WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S...IS RESULTING
POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WHERE MLCAPE IS APPROACHING
1000-1500 J/KG. FARTHER E OVER NYC...LONG ISLAND INTO SWRN NEW
ENGLAND...BOUNDARY LAYER IS COMPARATIVELY COOLER AND MORE STABLE
OWING TO MARINE INFLUENCES.

GIVEN THE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR...IT
APPEARS THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER PARTS OF ERN PA AND NJ. THE MAIN THREATS
WILL BE LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL.


..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...
LAT...LON 39907649 40857601 41277508 41497431 41427360 40807336
39847407 39287461 39267537 39357581 39907649
NNNNZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162055
SPC MCD 162055
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-162200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1583
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE DE RIVER VALLEY / UPSTATE NY / VT
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587...

VALID 162055Z - 162200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587
CONTINUES.

STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE DISCUSSION AREA
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISOLD DMGG WIND
GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

RECENT RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS AN ARCING SCTD BAND OF STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS EXTENDING FROM EXTREME NERN ONTARIO INTO THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
SWD INTO NERN PA. SURFACE DATA/VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A
LAKE BREEZE ORIGINATING FROM LAKE ONTARIO HAS EFFECTIVELY STABILIZED
THE AIRMASS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS /W OF ONGOING STORMS OVER THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY/. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN
THEIR VIGOR FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE GRADUAL LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING CONTRIBUTES TO A LESS UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND AN OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND IN STORM INTENSITY. BEFORE THIS OCCURS...STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR /35-50 KTS 0-6 KM/ IN AREA VWP DATA WILL SUPPORT
STORM ORGANIZATION WITH OCCASIONAL STORM-SCALE ROTATION POSSIBLE.

..SMITH.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
LAT...LON 41697595 42627503 43527400 44087371 44827382 45017265
44967171 44457171 43717232 43197246 42767295 41697342
41027425 40767511 40897574 41697595
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162159
SPC MCD 162159
KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-162300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1584
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0459 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST MO/NORTHEAST AR TO FAR SOUTHERN
IL/WESTERN KY/WESTERN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 162159Z - 162300Z
AT LEAST AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/SOME HAIL THREAT MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MO/NORTHEAST AR AND PERHAPS ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHERN IL AND WESTERN KY/WESTERN TN THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
MONITORING FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

LOOSE CLUSTERS OF MAINLY MULTICELLULAR STORMS CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MO IN AREAS
ALONG/SOUTHEAST OF I-44 AS OF 2145Z. AIDED BY AN APPARENT MID LEVEL
IMPULSE/SPEED MAXIMA PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MO AND THE
ADJACENT MS RIVER VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS INTO A RESIDUALLY
MOIST/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH LATEST OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE
REFLECTING AS MUCH AS 2000-2500 J/KG OF MLCAPE AHEAD OF THESE
STORMS. PERIODIC BOUTS OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
SOME HAIL...AND A MORE ORGANIZED/CONSEQUENTIAL RISK COULD DEVELOP IF
STORMS ARE ABLE TO CONSOLIDATE AND DEVELOP AN APPRECIABLE COLD POOL
AS THE DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD.


..GUYER.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...
LAT...LON 38489168 38078978 37498823 35478884 35399118 36359162
36669131 38489168
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162216
SPC MCD 162216
NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-162315-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN/WRN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587...

VALID 162216Z - 162315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587
CONTINUES.

AREAS DOWNSTREAM OF WW 587 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF AN ADDITIONAL WW INTO PORTIONS OF WRN/SRN NEW ENGLAND AND THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. UNCERTAINTIES PERSIST REGARDING THE OVERALL
AMPLITUDE AND AREAL EXTENT OF THE THREAT E/SE OF WW 587...WITH
ONGOING SEVERE EVENT LIKELY NEAR PEAK AND A DOWNWARD TREND EXPECTED
DURING THE EVENING.

RECENT RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTED GENERALLY SINGLE-CELL TO MULTICELL
CLUSTERS PRIMARILY ACROSS THE SRN/ERN PORTIONS AND ALONG THE FAR NRN
PERIPHERY OF WW 587. A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WERE NOTED
DURING THE PAST HOUR WHICH PRODUCED REPORTED HAIL FROM 1.75 TO 3 IN
NEAR BTV AND ALB. WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S
AND TEMPERATURES HOLDING AROUND 80 ACROSS WRN/SRN NH AND WRN
MA/CT...INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT AMIDST 30-40 KT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR AT LEAST AN ISOLATED HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT
TO PERSIST DOWNSTREAM OF WW 587. HOWEVER...THIS MAY REMAIN
RELATIVELY SHORT IN DURATION AS ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING
CONTRIBUTES TO BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION.


..GRAMS.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...
LAT...LON 45127136 44737118 43957134 42847153 41587197 41037329
41017403 41427457 41647488 42027492 42367433 43437324
44207294 44577342 44887458 45127136
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162310
SPC MCD 162310
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-170015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1586
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0610 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST KS AND TX/OK PANHANDLES TO NORTHWEST OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 162310Z - 170015Z
DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL CONTINUE/DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD THIS
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KS AND OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO
NORTHWEST OK. THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS STILL UNCLEAR...BUT INCREASING
STORM COVERAGE/MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING COULD PROMPT A
WATCH ISSUANCE.

MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EARLY
THIS EVENING IN PROXIMITY TO MULTIPLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WITH ONE
CORRIDOR FOCUSED ALONG/SOUTH OF I-40 NEAR/EAST OF AMARILLO AS OF
23Z...AND ANOTHER CONGEALING CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS ACROSS
FAR SOUTHWEST KS AND THE OK PANHANDLE. WITH MUCH OF THIS
ACTIVITY...PERIODIC BOUTS OF DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH MAINLY MULTICELLULAR TSTMS.
WHILE A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...CONTINUED STORM
CONSOLIDATION/COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT AMIDST A HOT/MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER COULD YIELD A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT AMIDST EXPECTATIONS
FOR INCREASING EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW THIS EVENING BENEATH MODESTLY
STRENGTHENING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.


..GUYER.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 37510135 37579992 34540020 34950267 37510135
NNNNZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162332
SPC MCD 162332
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-170100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1587
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0632 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/SOUTHERN AR AND SOUTHEAST OK TO ADJACENT
ARKLATEX VICINITY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 589...

VALID 162332Z - 170100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 589
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 589 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z...WITH CONTINUED RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX VICINITY.

GENERAL WEST-EAST ORIENTED QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES TO
SETTLE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD FROM NEAR THE OK/TX BORDER INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL AR EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH A BROAD SURFACE COLD POOL FROM
FAR EASTERN OK TO CENTRAL AR...UPLIFT ALONG THE GUST FRONT/LEADING
EDGE OF COLD POOL AND A SOUTHERN-EASTERN PERIPHERAL HOT/MOIST AND
RATHER UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED
DAMAGING WIND/SOME HAIL THREAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WHILE AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR IMMINENT...THE SEVERE THREAT COULD
DEVELOP INTO AREAS TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF EXISTING WW 589 ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX VICINITY.


..GUYER.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34209583 34539439 33999073 32279181 32999556 34209583
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162342
SPC MCD 162342
NHZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-170015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1588
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN VT...WRN NH/MA...CT
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587...

VALID 162342Z - 170015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587
CONTINUES.

AN INCREASINGLY LOCALIZED/MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PERSIST
ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF WW 587 AND ADJACENT AREAS
DOWNSTREAM...FOR A FEW HOURS BEYOND THE SCHEDULED WW EXPIRATION OF
00Z. THE GREATEST NEAR-TERM THREAT SHOULD BE ACROSS A SMALL PORTION
OF SERN NY/WRN MA INTO NRN CT AND A LOCAL WFO EXTENSION IN TIME MAY
BE NECESSARY. FARTHER E...OVERALL AREAL EXTENT OF THE SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD BE LIMITED IN TIME/DURATION SUCH THAT A NEW WW FOR WFO/S
ADJACENT TO WW 587 MAY NOT BE NECESSARY.


..GRAMS.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...
LAT...LON 44127242 44267190 44097165 43447187 42447197 41797187
41517206 41327292 41277356 41487391 41747418 42027397
42387325 43407276 44077268 44127242
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 162356
SPC MCD 162356
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-170100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1589
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST OK/FAR SOUTHEAST KS/SOUTHWEST
MO/NORTHWEST AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 588...

VALID 162356Z - 170100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 588
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 588 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z...BUT OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING WITHIN WW 588 AND CANCELLATION
PRIOR TO 03Z SEEMS LIKELY.

A FEW STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE MO/AR BORDER EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE
THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AR IN THE SHORT
TERM. WHILE THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL VIGOROUS DEVELOPMENT SEEMS
UNLIKELY IN THE PRESENCE OF STABILIZING IMPACTS OF EARLIER
CONVECTION/OUTFLOW AND ONSET OF NORTHERLY SURFACE FLOW. THUS...THE
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WANE ACROSS WW 588
THIS EVENING...AND CANCELLATION PRIOR TO 03Z SEEMS PRUDENT.

..GUYER.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 36539632 37919401 37899150 35729182 35469591 36539632
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170231
SPC MCD 170231
OKZ000-TXZ000-170330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1590
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0931 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...OK AND FAR EASTERN TX PANHANDLE/NORTH TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 590...

VALID 170231Z - 170330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 590
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 590 CONTINUES UNTIL 05Z...WITH A CONTINUED RISK
FOR MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS WESTERN OK.

LEAD SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING CLUSTER OF TSTMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN WHILE STILL REMAINING CAPABLE OF
PERIODIC BOUTS OF STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS INTO THE WESTERN PART OF
NORTH TX. FARTHER NORTH...THE MOST SUSTAINED SEVERE THREAT OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HOURS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO WEST CENTRAL OK IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A WELL-SUSTAINED CLUSTER OF STORMS APPROACHING I-40 NEAR AND
WEST OF CLINTON AS OF 0230Z. THIS MULTICELLULAR CLUSTER WILL
ENCOUNTER A LOCALLY MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE WAKE OF
EARLIER STORMS/OUTFLOW...BUT SEMI-ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE ONGOING
CLUSTER AMIDST SUFFICIENTLY VEERED FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A DAMAGING
WIND THREAT...MAINLY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS ACROSS WESTERN OK.
OTHERWISE...AN UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE VIGOR ACROSS THE BULK OF WW 590
SEEMS UNLIKELY THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.


..GUYER.. 07/17/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 36279976 35899876 34649626 33569635 33619966 35210031
36279976
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170306
SPC MCD 170306
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-170400-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1591
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHEAST TX/NORTHERN LA AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL
MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 591...

VALID 170306Z - 170400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 591
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 591 CONTINUES UNTIL 05Z...WITH PRIMARY RISK OF
DAMAGING WINDS MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL MS AND
NORTHERN LA.

QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS WESTERN MS/NORTHERN LA/FAR NORTHEAST TX AS OF 0245Z. WESTERN
PORTION OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST TX/NORTHERN LA
SHOULD CONTINUE TO WANE WITH RESPECT TO A SEVERE RISK OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO VIA SURGING GUST FRONT/COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER...ALTHOUGH
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT
TERM...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BECOMING THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
FARTHER EAST...LEAD/MORE ORGANIZED EASTERN PORTION OF THE QLCS WILL
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 25-30 KT ACROSS
NORTHERN/CENTRAL MS. A 44 KT GUST WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT
GREENVILLE MS AS OF 0155Z. MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THESE PORTIONS OF MS...BUT A
RELATIVELY MORE STABLE/CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED AIRMASS TO THE EAST
OF I-55...ALONG WITH A NOCTURNALLY COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER...SHOULD
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT. AS SUCH...AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO THE EAST OF WW 591.

..GUYER.. 07/17/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...SHV...
LAT...LON 32799460 32609301 33079126 34329015 34078894 32069003
31749189 31979422 32799460
NNNN
ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170402
SPC MCD 170402
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-170530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1592
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST IL/SOUTHWEST INDIANA/FAR NORTHWEST KY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 170402Z - 170530Z
SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST IL INTO SOUTHWEST
INDIANA/FAR NORTHWEST KY INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS
UNCLEAR...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED IN THE SHORT TERM FOR A
POSSIBLE WATCH.

LONE SEVERE TSTM/SUPERCELL HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL IL...NEAR/EAST OF SALEM AS OF 0345Z...WITH A 44
KT GUST RECENTLY MEASURED AT SALEM. WHILE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS NOT
PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES COOLING INTO THE
LOWER/MIDDLE 70S F...THIS STORM APPEARS TO BE THRIVING ALONG A
WNW-ESE ORIENTED MOISTURE GRADIENT/WEAK WARM FRONT...WITH SUPPORT ON
THE LARGE SCALE VIA A PROGRESSIVE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS PER LATEST
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. REGIONAL PROFILERS/WSR-88D VWPS SAMPLE
SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR/VEERING WITH HEIGHT FOR SUPERCELL
SUSTENANCE/SEVERE STORM ORGANIZATION. DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE OVERNIGHT...BUT MODEST
BUOYANCY PUTS THE EXTENT/LONGEVITY OF THE SEVERE RISK INTO QUESTION.
THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS UNCLEAR...BUT CONTINUED INCREASING DEEP
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND/OR UPSCALE GROWTH IN A BROADER CLUSTER/MCS
COULD PROMPT A WATCH ISSUANCE.


..GUYER.. 07/17/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...
LAT...LON 38998889 38998780 38318669 37728725 38238904 38998889
NNNNZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 170437
SPC MCD 170437
OKZ000-TXZ000-170530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1593
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/CENTRAL OK AND NORTH TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 590...

VALID 170437Z - 170530Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 590
CONTINUES.

AT LEAST AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL OK AND PERHAPS ADJACENT
NORTH TX. GIVEN THE SCHEDULED 05Z EXPIRATION OF WW 590...A LOCAL
WATCH EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED ESPECIALLY FOR PORTIONS OF OK.
SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS CONTINUE TO
EFFICIENTLY PRODUCE SEVERE WIND GUSTS ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OK
AS OF 0430Z...WITH MULTIPLE MEASURED 70+ MPH GUSTS OVER THE PAST
HOUR. OTHER MORE RECENT DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN OCCURRING/INCREASING
ACROSS CENTRAL OK AS WELL. STORMS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY ORGANIZED AND
SHOULD ULTIMATELY WANE IN VIGOR OVERNIGHT...BUT IT SEEMS PROBABLE
THAT AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO ACROSS SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL OK AND PERHAPS ADJACENT NORTH
TX.


..GUYER.. 07/17/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 35519925 35949780 34989630 33429604 33189798 34179972
35519925
NNNN