** Fire Weather Options **
** DEFINITIONS **
[CPR] = Combined probability (Prob_Field_1 x Prob_Field_2 x ... x
Prob_Field_N)
[MAX] = Maximum from any member at each grid point
[MD] = Median
[MDXN] = Median value contoured. The dashed red line is the union of
all members at the lowest contour value plotted (i.e., where
at least one of the 16 members exceeds the value of the first
median contour). The dashed blue line is the intersection of
all members at the lowest contour value plotted (i.e., where
all 16 members exceed the value value of the first median
contour).
[MIN] = Minimum from any member at each grid point
[MN] = Mean
[MNSD] = Mean and Standard Deviation
[PM] = Probability Matched Mean Value
[PR] = Probability (percentage of members meeting/exceeding some
condition)
[SP] = Spaghetti
** SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON AVAILABLE FIELDS **
[MAX]:10m_Wind ->Maximum 10 meter wind (mph) at each grid point
[MAX]:2m_DewPoint ->Maximum 2 meter dew point (degF) at each grid point
[MAX]:2m_Temperature ->Maximum 2 meter temp (degF) at each grid point
[MAX]:Fosberg_Index ->Maximum Fosberg Index value at each grid point
[MDXN]:2m_DewPoint ->Median 2 meter dew point (contours start at
40 degF) with union (dashed red) and intersection
(dashed blue) at 40 degF.
[MDXN]:Fosberg_Index ->Median Fosberg Index value (contours start at
50) with union (dashed red) and intersection
(dashed blue) at Fosberg=50.
[MIN]:2m_DewPoint ->Minimum 2 meter dew point (degF) at each grid point
[MIN]:2m_RH ->Minimum 2 meter RH (%) at each grid point
[MNSD]:2m_RH ->Mean and standard deviation of 2 meter RH
[MNSD]:Fosberg_Index ->Mean and standard deviation of Fosberg Index
[MNSD]:LAS_Index ->Mean and standard deviation of Lower Atmospheric
Stability Index (LASI)
[MN]:10m_Wind ->Mean of the 10 meter wind
[MN]:2m_DewPoint ->Mean of 2 meter dew point (degF)
[MN]:2m_Temperature ->Mean of 2 meter temperature (degF)
[MN]:Fosberg_Index ->Mean of the Fosberg Fire Weather Index
[PR]:10m_WSPD>=20mph ->Probability 10 meter wind speed >= 20 mph
[PR]:10m_WSPD>=30mph ->Probability 10 meter wind speed >= 30 mph
[PR]:2m_DewPoint<=15degF ->Probability 2 meter dew point <= 15 degF
[PR]:2m_DewPoint<=25degF ->Probability 2 meter dew point <= 25 degF
[PR]:2m_DewPoint<=35degF ->Probability 2 meter dew point <= 35 degF
[PR]:2m_DewPoint<=45degF ->Probability 2 meter dew point <= 45 degF
[PR]:2m_TEMP>=60degF ->Probability 2 meter temperature >= 60 degF
[CPR]:V>=15_RH<=30_T>=60_P12hr<.01 ->Product of the probabilities: wind
>= 15 mph; RH <= 30%; Temp >= 60 degF;
12-hr Precip < 0.01". Because this
uses 12-hr precip, it is unavailable
if forecast hour < 12.
[CPR]:V>=20_RH<=10_T>=60_P12hr<.01 ->Product of the probabilities: wind
>= 20 mph; RH <= 10%; Temp >= 60 degF;
12-hr Precip < 0.01". Because this
uses 12-hr precip, it is unavailable
if forecast hour < 12.
[CPR]:V>=20_RH<=20_T>=60_P12hr<.01 ->Product of the probabilities: wind
>= 20 mph; RH <= 20%; Temp >= 60 degF;
12-hr Precip < 0.01". Because this
uses 12-hr precip, it is unavailable
if forecast hour < 12.
[CPR]:V>=20_RH<=30_T>=60_P12hr<.01 ->Product of the probabilities: wind
>= 20 mph; RH <= 30%; Temp >= 60 degF;
12-hr Precip < 0.01". Because this
uses 12-hr precip, it is unavailable
if forecast hour < 12.
[CPR]:V>=30_RH<=10_T>=60_P12hr<.01 ->Product of the probabilities: wind
>= 30 mph; RH <= 10%; Temp >= 60 degF;
12-hr Precip < 0.01". Because this
uses 12-hr precip, it is unavailable
if forecast hour < 12.
[CPR]:V>=30_RH<=20_T>=60_P12hr<.01 ->Product of the probabilities: wind
>= 30 mph; RH <= 20%; Temp >= 60 degF;
12-hr Precip < 0.01". Because this
uses 12-hr precip, it is unavailable
if forecast hour < 12.
[PR]:Fosberg_Index>=50 ->Probability Fosberg Fire Weather Index >= 50
[PR]:Fosberg_Index>=70 ->Probability Fosberg Fire Weather Index >= 70
[PR]:2m_RH<=10% ->Probability 2 meter RH <= 10%
[PR]:2m_RH<=20% ->Probability 2 meter RH <= 20%
[PR]:Tot_12hr_Pcpn<=.01" ->Probability 12-hr total precipitation <= .01"
All SREF information presented herein is for guidance purposes
only and should not be confused with official SPC operational
forecasts. Links to official SPC operational products are found
at the bottom of every menu.
Many of the SREF products were developed for testing the utility
of SREF analysis in the prediction of SPC mission critical items,
including: thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms, large scale
critical fire weather conditions, and mesoscale areas of hazardous
winter weather. In order to accomplish this goal and test new and
unqiue methods of SREF application in an operational environment,
many fields not produced in the NCEP postprocessor were calculated
locally for SPC purposes.
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