SPC SREF SREF_Spaghetti_SCCP_1_

Please Note: Several problems have developed in the SREF related to vertical velocity and precipiation type fields (updated 2012-12-21):
Precip Type: A problem has developed with the precipitation type grids from the WRF-ARW members, which adversely affects precipitation type and snow amount fields. Click here for more info.
Vertical Velocity: Several graphics that are dependent on vertical velocity have been removed, owing to incorrect vertical velocity fields in the NMM and NMMB members. Click here for more info.

SPC Guidance
[PR]:3hr Calibrated Thunderstorm [PR]:3hr Calibrated Severe Thunderstorm [PR]:3hr Calibrated Conditional Severe Tstm [PR]:3hr Dry Thunderstorm Potential [PR]:3hr Calibrated Tstm >=100 CG Strikes [PR]:12hr Calibrated Thunderstorm [PR]:12hr Calibrated Severe Thunderstorm [PR]:24hr Calibrated Thunderstorm [PR]:24hr Calibrated Severe Thunderstorm [PR]:3Hr New Snow on Roads (rel to normal) [PR]:6Hr Calibrated New Snow on Roads

Instability
[MDXN]:Surface_L [MN]:Surface_LI [PR]:Surface_LI_<=0 [PR]:Surface_LI_<=-2 [PR]:Surface_LI_<=-4 [PR]:Surface_LI_<=-6 [MDXN]:Surface_CAPE [PR]:Surface_Cape_>=250 [PR]:Surface_Cape_>=500 [PR]:Surface_Cape_>=1000 [PR]:Surface_Cape_>=2000 [PR]:Surface_Cape_>=3000 [MDXN]:Mixed_Layer_CAPE [PR]:Mixed_Layer_CAPE_>=500 [PR]:Mixed_Layer_CAPE_>=1000 [PR]:Mixed_Layer_CAPE_>=2000 [PR]:Mixed_Layer_CAPE_>=3000 [MDXN]:Most_Unstable_CAPE [MN]:MUCAPE_and_MULPL(MB_AGL) [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=50 [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=100 [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=250 [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=500 [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=1000 [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=2000 [PR]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_>=3000 [SP]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_100 [SP]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_250 [SP]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_500 [SP]:Most_Unstable_CAPE_1000 [MDXN]:Downdraft_CAPE [PR]:Downdraft_CAPE_>=1000 [PR]:Downdraft_CAPE_>=1500 [PR]:Downdraft_CAPE_>=2000 [PR]:Equilibrium_Level_Temp_<=-15C [PR]:Equilibrium_Lvl_Temp_<=-20C [PR]:Cloud_Physics_Thunder_Param_>=1 [PR]:700-500MB_Lapse_rate_>=7.0 [PR]:700-500MB_Lapse_rate_>=8.0 [PR]:MPV_900-650mb_<=0.05

Kinematic
[MN]:Vector_Wind_10m [MN]:Vector_Wind_300mb [MN]:Vector_Wind_500mb [MN]:Vector_Wind_700mb [MN]:Vector_Wind_850mb [MNSD]:300MB_Wind_Speed [MDXN]:300MB_Wind_Speed [MNSD]:500MB_Wind_Speed [MDXN]:500MB_Wind_Speed [SP]:500MB_Wind_Speed_50kts [SP]:500MB_Wind_Speed_70kts [MDXN]:850MB_Wind_Speed [MDXN]:0-6KM_Bulk_Shear [PR]:0-6km_Bulk_Shear_>=30kts [PR]:0-6km_Bulk_Shear_>=40kts [PR]:0-6km_Bulk_Shear_>=50kts [SP]:0-6KM_Bulk_Shear_40KTS [MDXN]:Effective_Bulk_Shear [PR]:Effective_Bulk_Shear_>=30kts [PR]:Effective_Bulk_Shear_>=40kts [PR]:Effective_Bulk_Shear_>=50kts [SP]:Effective_Bulk_Shear_40KTS [MDXN]:0-1KM_Helicity [PR]:1KM_Helicity_>=50m2s-2 [PR]:1KM_Helicity_>=100m2s-2 [PR]:1KM_Helicity_>=150m2s-2 [SP]:0-1KM_Helicity_100m2s-2 [SP]:0-1KM_Helicity_200m2s-2 [MDXN]:0-3KM_Helicity [PR]:3KM_Helicity_>=100m2s-2 [PR]:3KM_Helicity_>=200m2s-2 [PR]:3KM_Helicity_>=300m2s-2 [SP]:0-3KM_Helicity_150m2s-2 [SP]:0-3KM_Helicity_300m2s-2

Lift
[MN]:Frontogenesis_900-650mb_layer [MN]:Frontogenesis_and_MPV_850mb [MN]:Frontogenesis_and_MPV_700mb [PR]:Front_900-650mb_layer>=0.1K [PR]:Front_>=0.1_and_MPV_<=0.25_850mb [PR]:Front_>=0.1_and_MPV_<=0.25_700mb [PR]:Front_>=0.1_and_MPV_<=0.25_900-650mb

Precip
[MAX]:3hr_total_pcpn [MDXN]:3hr_total_pcpn [MN]:3hr_mean_QPF [MD]:3hr_median_QPF [PM]:3hr_prob_match_QPF [PR]:3hr_total_pcpn_>=0.01in [PR]:3hr_total_pcpn_>=0.05in [PR]:3hr_total_pcpn_>=0.10in [PR]:3hr_total_pcpn_>=0.25in [PR]:3hr_total_pcpn_>=0.50in [PR]:CPTP_>=1_and_3hr_pcpn_>=0.01in [SP]:3hr_total_pcpn_0.01in [SP]:3hr_total_pcpn_0.10in [MDXN]:3hr_convective_pcpn [PR]:3hr_convective_pcpn_>=_0.01in [PR]:3hr_convective_pcpn_>=_0.05in [PR]:3hr_convective_pcpn_>=_0.10in [PR]:3hr_convective_pcpn_>=_0.25in [PR]:3hr_convective_pcpn_>=_0.50in [SP]:3hr_convective_pcpn_0.01in [SP]:3hr_convective_pcpn_0.10in [MAX]:6hr_total_pcpn [PR]:6hr_total_pcpn_>=0.01in [PR]:6hr_total_pcpn_>=0.10in [PR]:6hr_total_pcpn_>=0.25in [PR]:6hr_total_pcpn_>=0.50in [PR]:6hr_total_pcpn_>=1.00in [MAX]:12hr_total_pcpn [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=0.01in [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=0.10in [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=0.25in [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=0.50in [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=1.00in [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=2.00in [PR]:12hr_total_pcpn_>=3.00in [MAX]:24hr_total_pcpn [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=0.01in [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=0.10in [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=0.25in [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=0.50in [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=1.00in [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=2.00in [PR]:24hr_total_pcpn_>=3.00in

Severe
[MDXN]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe [PR]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe_>=10000 [PR]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe_>=20000 [PR]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe_>=40000 [PR]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe_>=60000 [SP]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe_10000 [SP]:CravenBrooks_Significant_Severe_20000 [PR]:MUCAPE>=500&0-6Shr>=30&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=500&0-6Shr>=40&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=1000&0-6Shr>=30&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=1000&0-6Shr>=40&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=2000&0-6Shr>=30&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=2000&0-6Shr>=40&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=500&EShear>=30&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=500&EShear>=40&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=1000&EShear>=30&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=1000&EShear>=40&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=2000&EShear>=30&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=2000&EShear>=40&C03I>=.01 [PR]:MUCAPE>=3000&EShear>=20&C03I>=.01 [MN]:Supercell_Composite(0-500mb_bulk_shear) [MN]:Supercell_Composite(effective_bulk_shear) [MDXN]:Supercell_Composite_Parameter [PR]:Supercell_Composite_Parameter_>=1 [PR]:Supercell_Composite_Parameter_>=3 [PR]:Supercell_Composite_Parameter_>=6 [SP]:Supercell_Composite_Parameter_1 [SP]:Supercell_Composite_Parameter_3 [PR]:Supercell_Parameter_>=1_&_pcpn_>=0.01 [MDXN]:Significant_Tornado_Parameter [PR]:Significant_Tornado_Parameter_>=1 [PR]:Significant_Tornado_Parameter_>=3 [PR]:Significant_Tornado_Parameter_>=5 [PR]:Significant_Tornado_Ingredients [SP]:Significant_Tornado_Parameter_1 [SP]:Significant_Tornado_Parameter_2 [MDXN]:Derecho_Parameter [PR]:Derecho_Parameter_>=_1 [PR]:Derecho_Parameter_>=_3 [PR]:Derecho_Parameter_>=_5 [PR]:Derecho_Param_>=1_&_C03I_>=0.01 [SP]:Derecho_Parameter_1

Winter
[MNSD]:850MB_Temp [SP]:850MB_Temp_0C_Isotherm [PR]:850MB_Temp_<=-2C [PR]:850MB_Temp_<=0C [PR]:850MB_Temp_<=+2C [MNSD]:700MB_Temp [PR]:1000-500MB_Thickness_<=5280m [PR]:1000-500MB_Thickness_<=5340m [PR]:1000-500MB_Thickness_<=5400m [MAX]:3hr_Snowfall(inches) [MN]:3hr_Snowfall(inches) [PM]:3hr_Snowfall(inches) [MN]:6hr_Snowfall(inches) [MN]:12hr_Snowfall(inches) [MN]:Snowfall_Ratio(Snow:Liquid_Eqv) [PR]:Snowfall_Rate_>=1in(perhr) [PR]:Snowfall_Rate_>=2in(perhr) [PR]:Snowfall_Rate_>=3in(perhr) [PR]:Freezing_Rain_Rate_>=0.05_in(per3hr) [PR]:Freezing_Rain_lasting_>=3hrs [PR]:Rain_Change_to_Freezing_Rain [PR]:Freezing_Rain_Change_to_Rain [MDXN]:Dendritic_Growth_Zone_Depth(mb) [PR]:Dendritic_Growth_Zone_Depth_>=50mb [PR]:Dendritic_Growth_Zone_Depth_>=100mb [PR]:Dendritic_Growth_Zone_Depth_>=200mb [MN]:Precipitation_Type_(NCEP_Algorithm) [PR]:Probability_Rain(All_members) [CPR]:Cond_Prob_Rain(Given_member_precips) [PR]:Probability_Snow(All_members) [CPR]:Cond_Prob_Snow(Given_member_precips) [PR]:Probability_Ice_Pellets(All_members) [CPR]:Cond_Prob_IP(Given_member_precips) [PR]:Probability_Freezing_Rain(All_members) [CPR]:Cond_Prob_ZR(Given_member_precips) [PR]:Front_>=0.1_and_MPV_<=0.25_850mb [PR]:Front_>=0.1_and_MPV_<=0.25_700mb [PR]:Front_>=0.1_and_MPV_<=0.25_900-650mb

Fire
[MN]:2m_Temp [PR]:2m_Temp_>=60F [MAX]:2m_DewPoint [MIN]:2m_DewPoint [MDXN]:2m_DewPoint [MN]:2m_DewPoint [PR]:2m_DewPoint_<=15F [PR]:2m_DewPoint_<=25F [PR]:2m_DewPoint_<=35F [PR]:2m_DewPoint_<=45F [MIN]:2m_RH [MNSD]:2m_RH [PR]:RH_<=10% [PR]:RH_<=15% [PR]:RH_<=20% [PR]:RH_<=25% [PR]:RH_<=30% [PR]:Tot_3hr_Pcpn_<=0.01in [PR]:Tot_3hr_Pcpn_<=0.05in [PR]:Tot_3hr_Pcpn_<=0.10in [PR]:Tot_12hr_Pcpn_<=0.01in [PR]:Tot_12hr_Pcpn_<=0.10in [MAX]:10m_Wind_Speed [MN]:10m_Wind_Speed [PR]:10m_Wind_Speed_>=10mph [PR]:10m_Wind_Speed_>=20mph [PR]:10m_Wind_Speed_>=30mph [MAX]:Fosberg_Fire_Wx_Index [MDXN]:Fosberg_Fire_Wx_Index [MN]:Fosberg_Fire_Wx_Index [PR]:Fosberg_Fire_Wx_Index_>=50 [PR]:Fosberg_Fire_Wx_Index_>=60 [PR]:Fosberg_Fire_Wx_Index_>=70 [MDXN]:Haines_Index [PR]:Haines_Index_>=5 [PR]:WSPD>=20&RH<=15 [PR]:WSPD>=15&RH<=15&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=15&RH<=20&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=15&RH<=25&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=15&RH<=30&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=20&RH<=10&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=20&RH<=15&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=20&RH<=20&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=20&RH<=30&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=20&RH<=35&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=30&RH<=10&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=30&RH<=15&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01 [PR]:WSPD>=30&RH<=20&Temp>=60&P12I<=0.01

Aviation
[MAX]:Convective_Cloud_Top(CCT) [MD]:Convective_Cloud_Top(CCT) [MN]:Convective_Cloud_Top(CCT) [PR]:Probability_CCT_<=31KFT [PR]:Probability_CCT_31-37KFT [PR]:Probability_CCT_>37KFT [CPR]:Conditional_Prob_CCT_<=31KFT [CPR]:Conditional_Prob_CCT_31-37KFT [CPR]:Conditional_Prob_CCT_>37KFT

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Active Field: SREF_Spaghetti_SCCP_1__

Active Model Run: 2013010403z

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