Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Mon Apr 24 04:58:03 UTC 2017 (20170424 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20170424 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 170,077 4,208,773 El Paso, TX...Tucson, AZ...Albuquerque, NM...Las Cruces, NM...Casas Adobes, AZ...

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 240453

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN ARIZONA...MUCH OF NEW
   MEXICO...FAR WEST TEXAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   As an upper trough amplifies across the Four Corners region into the
   southern Rockies, strong low/midlevel flow will spread from AZ
   eastward into portions of NM and the southern High Plains in
   conjunction with deepening low pressure in the lee of the Rockies. A
   critical fire weather threat will result across portions of AZ, NM,
   and west TX.

   ...Portions of AZ/NM and the adjacent Four Corners Region into West
   TX...
   Very warm and dry conditions are expected across AZ/NM, the adjacent
   Four Corners region, and west TX this afternoon, with max
   temperatures in the 70s-80s F expected at higher elevations and 90+
   F expected at lower elevations. Minimum RH values of 5-15% in
   conjunction with sustained westerly winds of 20-30 MPH will result
   in critical fire weather conditions across eastern AZ, much of NM
   and far west TX. Elevated conditions will extend into the Four
   Corners region and also into a larger portion of the OK/TX
   panhandles and west TX. 

   ...Portions of the Upper Midwest/Upper Mississippi Valley...
   A strong low-level jet is expected to support strong and gusty
   surface winds across portions of the Upper Midwest and Mississippi
   Valley regions. High cloudiness may limit the amount of heating that
   occurs in this area, but with a very dry residual airmass in place,
   a modest amount of warming will result in elevated fire weather
   conditions where dry fuels are available. An elevated delineation
   may be required in the Day 1 update depending on short-term
   observational trends.

   ..Dean.. 04/24/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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