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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3 - 8 FW Outlook >
Jan 27, 2015 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 27 17:00:02 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150127 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20150127 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 271658

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1058 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...SRN/CNTRL PLAINS..
   OVER WRN KS AND FAR ERN CO...SUSTAINED NWLY SURFACE WINDS WILL
   APPROACH 30 MPH IN THE WAKE OF A DRY AND RELATIVELY WARM COLD FRONT
   WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY IN THE DAY. DESPITE THE
   PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...HIGHS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
   UPPER 60S /20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE/ WITH RESULTANT MIN RH
   VALUES FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT. AS A RESULT...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED WITH NO CHANGE NEEDED TO THE
   PREVIOUS FORECAST.

   GUSTY SWLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FARTHER S AND E /FROM CNTRL OK NEWD
   INTO E-CNTRL KS/ BUT RH VALUES WILL LIKELY STAY ABOVE 25 PERCENT.
   SOME LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BUT THE
   GENERAL THREAT CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO LOW/ISOLATED TO DELINEATE A
   THREAT AREA WITH THIS FORECAST.

   ..MOSIER.. 01/27/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0241 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A HIGH-AMPLITUDE MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD OFFSHORE
   OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...WITH MORE ZONAL FLOW ESTABLISHED UPSTREAM
   ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS. A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
   EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW WILL TRANSIT EWD ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS
   AND MIDWEST. IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CNTRL
   PLAINS...SFC HIGH PRES WILL BUILD AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES EAST
   TOWARDS THE MS VALLEY.

   ...WRN KS AND FAR ERN CO...
   ANOTHER DAY OF ELEVATED FIRE WX IS FORECAST AS BREEZY AND DRY
   CONDITIONS DEVELOP BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT. WHILE TEMPS
   WILL BE COOLER THAN THOSE OF THE PREVIOUS DAY...THEY WILL STILL BE
   AROUND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...GENERALLY IN THE MID/UPPER 60S.
   DIURNAL MIXING WILL COMBINE WITH ADEQUATE NWLY FLOW TO PRODUCE
   SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 20-30 MPH ACROSS THE AREA.
   FURTHERMORE...ADIABATIC DRYING FROM DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS WILL PROMOTE
   MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20-25 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH
   ADDITIONAL DRYING OF FINER FUELS...ELEVATED FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE
   LIKELY ON D2/WED AND A DELINEATION HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS
   OF WRN KS AND FAR ERN CO.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: January 27, 2015
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