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Mar 23, 2017 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 23 08:01:02 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170323 1200Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20170323 1200Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 113,868 3,344,045 El Paso, TX...Oklahoma City, OK...Abilene, TX...Norman, OK...Wichita Falls, TX...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 230757

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0257 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...PORTIONS OF
   WEST AND NORTH TEXAS...SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong deep-layer cyclone over the central High Plains on Friday
   morning is expected to weaken somewhat as it moves slowly eastward
   through the period. A dryline associated with the cyclone will move
   into portions of central OK/north-central TX during the afternoon,
   as a trailing cold front sweeps through portions of New Mexico and
   West Texas. Critical conditions are possible in the wake of the
   dryline and cold front. 

   ...New Mexico/West Texas into the central/southern Plains...
   While some cooling is expected on Friday, critical conditions are
   expected to develop within the dry and windy post-frontal regime
   from southeast New Mexico into portions of West Texas. Sustained
   westerly winds of 20-25 MPH are expected in this area, while RH
   values will fall into the 10-20% range.

   Further northeast into portions of north Texas, Oklahoma, and
   southern Kansas, a corridor of elevated to potentially critical
   conditions is expected Friday afternoon immediately behind the
   dryline and ahead of the cold front. The best chance of critical
   conditions in this regime appears to be from western north TX into
   southwest/central OK, where southwesterly winds of 20-30 MPH will
   combine with minimum RH values of 10-20%. Considerable uncertainty
   remains regarding the northward and eastward extent of the critical
   threat, but at least elevated conditions are possible into portions
   of eastern OK and south-central KS.

   While some antecedent rainfall is possible over portions of the
   elevated and critical areas, at this time the probability of wetting
   rainfall appears rather low.

   ..Dean.. 03/23/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: March 23, 2017
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