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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3-8 FW Outlook >
May 22, 2013 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Wed May 22 18:52:03 UTC 2013  (Print Version)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 160,970 4,347,426 Las Vegas, NV...Albuquerque, NM...Henderson, NV...N. Las Vegas, NV...Flagstaff, AZ...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 221851
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0151 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NV...NRN HALF  AZ...PORTIONS
   OF SRN AND ERN UT AND SWRN CO...NW AND CNTRL NM....
   
   UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE NW WITH ONE DISTURBANCE
   ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE LOW AND THEN NEWD INTO THE NRN
   ROCKIES.  THIS WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE SWLY WINDS WITH STRONGER
   FLOW EXTENDING FURTHER TO THE EAST ACROSS PARTS OF NEW MEXICO AND
   NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
   
   ...SRN NV...NRN HALF  AZ...PORTIONS OF SRN AND ERN UT AND SWRN
   CO...NW AND CNTRL NM....
   MODEL GUIDANCE THIS MORNING SHOWS STRONGER SWLY WINDS EXTENDING
   FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY...INTO CENTRAL NEW MEXICO SO HAVE EXPANDED
   THE CRITICAL AREA TO INCLUDE PARTS OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.  SWLY
   WINDS OF 20 MPH SHOULD BE COMMON WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE 3O TO 40 MPH
   RANGE.  IT WILL STILL BE WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S AND
   HUMIDITY FROM 5 TO 15 PERCENT.  FUEL CONDITIONS CONTINUE VERY DRY
   ACROSS THE AREA WITH LONG TERM DROUGHT.
   
   ...SRN AZ AND MUCH OF SRN/ERN NM....
   NO CHANGE EXCEPT TO INCLUDE PARTS OF CNTRL NM IN CRITICAL AREA..
   
   ...CNTRL NV/UT INTO NW CO AND SW/CNTRL WY...
   S/SWLY WINDS WILL BE STRONG ACROSS THIS AREA AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
   LIFTS OUT INTO THE NRN ROCKIES...HOWEVER...FUELS ACROSS THE AREA ARE
   NOT FAVORABLE FOR WILDFIRES AND IT WILL ALSO BE COOLER WITH HIGHER
   HUMIDITY ACROSS THIS AREA.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 05/22/2013
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0223 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ...SRN NV...CNTRL AZ...PORTIONS OF SRN AND ERN UT AND WRN UT...NW
   NM...
   W/SWLY FLOW WILL INCREASE FURTHER ON THURSDAY AS AN EMBEDDED
   SHORTWAVE IMPULSE ROTATES THROUGH PAC NW UPPER LOW/WRN TROUGH. AT
   THE SFC...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE GREAT
   BASIN...SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THE
   STRONGEST WINDS JUXTAPOSED WITH CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES AND DRY
   FUELS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CRITICAL AREA. S/SW SURFACE WINDS NEAR 20
   MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED AS DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
   MIXING OCCURS. RH VALUES FROM 6-15 PERCENT WILL ALSO BE WIDESPREAD. 
   
   ...SRN AZ AND MUCH OF NM...
   TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CRITICAL IN AZ AND NM...CONDITIONS MAY
   BE SOMEWHAT MORE MARGINAL. WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE QUITE AS
   STRONG...AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH.  WARM AND
   DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED HOWEVER...WITH RH VALUES FROM 6-15
   PERCENT. MARGINAL WINDS WILL PRECLUDE THE INCLUSION OF THIS AREA IN
   THE CRITICAL DELINEATION AT THIS TIME.
   
   ...CNTRL NV/UT INTO NW CO AND SW/CNTRL WY...
   WINDS WILL BE STRONG ACROSS THIS AREA DUE TO A TIGHTER SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. S/SW WINDS 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
   POSSIBLE /MAYBE HIGHER IN WY/. HOWEVER...COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
   KEEP RH VALUES A BIT HIGHER...FROM 15-25 PERCENT.
   ADDITIONALLY...FUELS ACROSS THIS AREA ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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