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Apr 23, 2017 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sun Apr 23 19:27:03 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170423 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20170423 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 170,077 4,208,773 El Paso, TX...Tucson, AZ...Albuquerque, NM...Las Cruces, NM...Casas Adobes, AZ...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 231922

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0222 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN ARIZONA AND MUCH OF NEW
   MEXICO...

   Latest guidance supports the ongoing forecast. Only minor changes
   have been made.

   ..Marsh.. 04/23/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1158 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017/

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad cyclonic flow will continue over the Four Corners region
   through the afternoon before larger-scale height falls occur
   overnight. This will lead to another day of strong westerly
   deep-layer flow across the region. Surface pressure also will be
   falling during the day, allowing for increasing wind speeds.
   Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected across
   eastern AZ into much of NM, as well as parts of southeast
   UT/southwest CO and western TX.

   ...Eastern AZ, much of NM, far southeast UT/southwest CO, and
   portions of western TX...

   Temperatures will warm into the 70s across the northern portion of
   the risk area while low 90s are possible across southern AZ/NM into
   western TX. Widespread single digit RH values also are expected,
   with 10-15 percent more common in the surrounding elevated area. As
   temperatures warm and boundary layer mixing occurs, sustained
   west/southwesterly surface winds will increase to around 20-30 mph
   with higher gusts /15-20 mph in the elevated area/. Where fuels are
   dry, this will lead to several hours of elevated to critical fire
   weather conditions across the region. Gusty winds will continue in
   higher elevations, especially across central NM, into the overnight
   hours, but should diminish in lower elevations during the evening
   hours. Additionally, RH values will recover into the 30-50 percent
   range across AZ during the nighttime hours, but poor recovery is
   expected across much of NM with RH values remaining in the 15-25
   percent range.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: April 23, 2017
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