Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Thu May 26 19:39:02 UTC 2016 (20160526 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20160526 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 261935

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

   ON GOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE.

   ..MARSH.. 05/26/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0354 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE NEWD ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL CONUS. AN ACCOMPANYING WIND-SPEED MAXIMUM IS
   EXPECTED TO TRAIL SWWD FROM THE TROUGH TOWARD PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS AND SRN ROCKIES. A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE EWD ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF THE SRN GREAT PLAINS DURING THE DAY...WHILE SFC LOW
   PRESSURE SLOWLY DEVELOPS NEWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL CONUS.

   ...PORTIONS OF ERN/CNTRL/SRN NM...FAR W TX...
   TO THE W OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DRYLINE...MODESTLY ENHANCED FLOW
   ALOFT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WSWLY TO WLY SFC WINDS AROUND
   15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AS VERTICAL MIXING DIURNALLY
   STRENGTHENS. RH AROUND 5-12 PERCENT WILL COMBINE WITH THESE WINDS
   AMIDST DRY FUELS TO SUPPORT AN ELEVATED AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   REGION. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN CRITICALLY STRONG WINDS OCCURRING ON
   ANY MORE THAN A BRIEF/SPOTTY BASIS IS LIMITED IN THE ABSENCE OF
   STRONGER LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DESPITE EXPECTED LOW RH.

   ADDITIONALLY...ELEVATED METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS COULD EXTEND TO
   THE E OF THE ELEVATED AREA -- INTO OTHER PARTS OF FAR W TX.
   HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD OWING TO FUEL
   GREEN-UP PRECLUDES FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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