Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Mon Jun 27 08:20:02 UTC 2016 (20160627 1200Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20160627 1200Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 270816

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2016

   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN POSITIONED OVER PORTIONS OF THE GREAT
   BASIN AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES...BUT WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DURING
   THE PERIOD. ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
   SPREAD NORTH/WEST ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN GREAT
   BASIN. FARTHER NORTH...A WEAK IMPULSE WILL ROUND THE CREST OF THE
   RIDGE AS IT PASSES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.

   ...PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN...
   ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE ADVANCING
   NORTH...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP BY
   AFTERNOON. PW VALUES AROUND 0.75 INCHES AND DEEP/INVERTED-V BOUNDARY
   LAYER PROFILES WILL FAVOR CONSIDERABLE EVAPORATION AND LITTLE
   WETTING RAINFALL. WHILE STORM MOTIONS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
   FAST...RECENT HOT/DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PRIMED FUELS FOR FIRE
   IGNITION/SPREAD. AS SUCH...A CONSIDERABLE UPTICK IN FIRE-WEATHER
   CONCERNS SHOULD BE REALIZED...NECESSITATING AN ISOLATED DRY-THUNDER
   DESIGNATION.

   ...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...
   IN COMBINATION WITH SUBTLE MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR ASCENT FROM A
   PASSING IMPULSE...TERRAIN-INDUCED CIRCULATIONS SHOULD PROMOTE A FEW
   THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN ID...SOUTHWESTERN MT...AND MUCH OF WY
   BY AFTERNOON/EVENING. PW VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 0.5-0.75 INCHES AND
   A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL FAVOR LITTLE WETTING RAINFALL AND
   GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. WHILE FUELS ACROSS THIS REGION ARE NOT QUITE AS
   FAVORABLE FOR FIRE SPREAD /RELATIVE TO THE SOUTHERN GREAT
   BASIN/...CLOUD-LAYER WINDS AROUND 35-40 KTS WILL ENCOURAGE BRISK
   STORM MOTIONS...FURTHER REDUCING RAINFALL POTENTIAL. IN
   TURN...FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS APPEAR HIGH ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED
   DRY-THUNDER DESIGNATION HERE AS WELL.

   ..PICCA.. 06/27/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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