Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 141523

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1023 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

   VALID 141700Z - 151200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   NO CHANGES NEEDED TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

   ..ROGERS.. 09/14/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0325 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL DROP SEWD ACROSS ERN MT AND THE
   DAKOTAS THROUGH THE PERIOD.  AN UPPER RIDGE ALONG WITH WEST COAST
   WILL PRODUCE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF CALIFORNIA...
   OREGON AND WASHINGTON.

   ...PORTIONS OF SRN WYOMING...
   WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM PASSING JUST TO THE NORTH OF WYOMING...
   SOUTHERN WYOMING WILL REMAIN ON THE SRN FRINGE OF THE BROAD CYCLONIC
   FLOW WITH MDT WLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.  IT WILL BE
   WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY FOR A FEW HOURS
   THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HUMIDITY AROUND 15 PERCENT. SOME OF THE FUELS
   REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE AREA AND AS A RESULT...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. 

   ...PORTIONS OF WRN OREGON AND WASHINGTON...
   FUELS REMAIN DRY TO VERY DRY AND WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S WITH
   HUMIDITY DROPPING TO 15 TO 25 PERCENT.  A WEAK THERMAL TROUGH ALONG
   WITH COAST COULD PRODUCE SOME BRIEF OFFSHORE WINDS IN A FEW FAVORED
   TERRAIN LOCATIONS.

   ...PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
   HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF SRN CA ON SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON.  INLAND HIGHS WILL BE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S TO OVER
   100 AT MOST LOWER ELEVATIONS.  HUMIDITY WILL BE GENERALLY AROUND 15
   PERCENT WITH A FEW LOCATIONS NEAR 10 PERCENT.  WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
   IN MOST AREAS EXCEPT IN FAVORED TERRAIN LOCATIONS...INCLUDING LIGHT
   TO MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY. 
   EVEN THOUGH THE WINDS WILL NOT BE A SIGNIFICANT LARGE SCALE
   PROBLEM...OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY IN THE INLAND HIGHER
   ELEVATIONS HAS BEEN VERY POOR AND COMBINED WITH THE HOT/DRY
   CONDITIONS WITH THE ONGOING DROUGHT AND VERY DRY FUELS...LOCAL
   ELEVATED CONDITIONS FOR A FEW HOURS ARE POSSIBLE.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141843

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0143 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z


   ...PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL/NERN ORE...SMALL PORTION OF NRN CA AND NWRN
   NV...
   ISOLATED DRY TSTM RISK AREA HAS BEEN EXPANDED NEWD TO INCLUDE
   ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND NERN ORE...TO ACCOUNT FOR NOCTURNAL
   CONVECTION POTENTIAL PRIMARILY OVER THE BLUE MTNS. LATEST GUIDANCE
   SUGGESTS A NARROW RIBBON OF ENHANCED MIDLEVEL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD
   NEWD IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING PARALLEL
   TO THE COAST...WITH MODEST DESTABILIZATION AIDING IN ISOLATED TSTM
   DEVELOPMENT LATE MON AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUE MORNING. DRY LOW-LEVEL
   AIR E OF THE CASCADE RANGE WILL LIKELY SUPPORT POOR OVERNIGHT RH
   RECOVERY. THE COMBINATION OF A DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER...FAST STORM
   MOTIONS...AND WEAK LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL LIKELY LIMIT
   PRECIPITATION TOTALS.

   ..ROGERS.. 09/14/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0355 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
   REGION.  THE WEST COAST UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT INLAND IN THE
   NORTHWEST AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES NNEWD ACROSS NWRN CA...WRN OREGON
   AND WA.  WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE CNTRL AND
   NRN PLAINS.  

   NO LARGE SCALE WIND OR LOW HUMIDITY AREAS ARE EXPECTED ALTHOUGH MUCH
   OF INLAND AREAS OF SRN CA WILL CONTINUE HOT WITH LOW HUMIDITY WHERE
   FUELS ARE VERY DRY.

   ...SMALL PORTION OF NRN CA AND PORTIONS OF SWRN/SCNTRL OREGON...
   FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY ACROSS THE AREA WHERE ISOLATED DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ON MONDAY.  HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVER MUCH OF
   THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE POOR IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND IT ALSO
   REMAINS WARM TO HOT WITH LOW HUMIDITY IN THE AFTERNOON.  THE UPPER
   TROUGH WILL MOVE NNEWD ALONG THE COAST OF WA/OREGON AND WITH
   MARGINAL INSTABILITY OF 300 TO 500 J/KG MUCAPE AND DRY LOWER
   LEVELS... ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

      

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