DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0138 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2005
   
   VALID 191200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   LONG-RANGE MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT TROUGH / LOW INITIALLY
   OVER THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY REGION AT THE START OF DAY 4 SHOULD MOVE
   SWD WITH TIME...INTO TX / THE WRN GULF REGION BY THE START OF DAY 6.
    WITH LARGE RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS N OF THIS FEATURE AND UPPER VORTEX
   OVER THE NORTHEAST...PATTERN APPEARS LESS THAN FAVORABLE FOR A
   REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER AREA E OF THE ROCKIES.
   
   FURTHER W...STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW / FRONT
   SHOULD MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE NWRN U.S. / NRN ROCKIES IN THE DAY 4-6
   TIME FRAME...BUT LIMITED MOISTURE / INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE
   WIDESPREAD / SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER.
   
   ..GOSS.. 05/16/2005