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Day 4-8 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook Issued on May 28, 2005
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0439 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2005
VALID 311200Z - 051200Z
...DISCUSSION...
PACIFIC TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON DAY 3 IS PROGGED
TO TRACK NEWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON TUESDAY DAY 4...AS IT PHASES
WITH A MID LEVEL TROUGH INITIALLY LOCATED OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
HOWEVER...STRONGER INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH ACROSS
TX.
OPERATIONAL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK
AND TIMING OF THE NEXT UPSTREAM PACIFIC TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE
INLAND ACROSS THE NWRN STATES ON DAY 4 AND REACH THE NRN PLAINS ON
THURSDAY DAY 6. INCREASING MID LEVEL WINDS/DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS COMBINED WITH STRONG MOISTURE
RETURN AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
STORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT.
..PETERS.. 05/28/2005
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