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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Issued on May 28, 2007
Updated: Mon May 28 09:15:03 UTC 2007
Note:
A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period
indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe
thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
| D4: Thu, May 31, 2007 - Fri, Jun 01, 2007 |
D7: Sun, Jun 03, 2007 - Mon, Jun 04, 2007 |
| D5: Fri, Jun 01, 2007 - Sat, Jun 02, 2007 |
D8: Mon, Jun 04, 2007 - Tue, Jun 05, 2007 |
| D6: Sat, Jun 02, 2007 - Sun, Jun 03, 2007 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 280913
SPC AC 280913
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0413 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2007
VALID 311200Z - 051200Z
...DISCUSSION...
IN THE NEARER TERM FOR DAYS 4 AND 5 SOME THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
MAY PERSIST ALONG AND S OF FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS PORTIONS OF TX...BUT
CONFIDENCE IN A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EPISODE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE A RISK AREA AT THIS TIME. MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT
UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL U.S. DAY 3 WILL CONTINUE
EAST WITH AMPLIFICATION OF AN ERN U.S. LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH BY
DAY 6 AND AN UPPER RIDGE IN THE WEST. ONCE ESTABLISHED...THIS
BLOCKING PATTERN WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO DAY 8 WITH LIMITED SEVERE
POTENTIAL OVER MOST OF THE COUNTRY.
..DIAL.. 05/28/2007
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