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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Issued on May 29, 2007
Updated: Tue May 29 09:20:03 UTC 2007
Note:
A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period
indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe
thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
| D4: Fri, Jun 01, 2007 - Sat, Jun 02, 2007 |
D7: Mon, Jun 04, 2007 - Tue, Jun 05, 2007 |
| D5: Sat, Jun 02, 2007 - Sun, Jun 03, 2007 |
D8: Tue, Jun 05, 2007 - Wed, Jun 06, 2007 |
| D6: Sun, Jun 03, 2007 - Mon, Jun 04, 2007 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 290919
SPC AC 290919
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0419 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007
VALID 011200Z - 061200Z
...DISCUSSION...
MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT CUTOFF UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT EWD THROUGH THE
PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH DAY 5. LEE TROUGH OVER THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN INFLUX OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE S OF FRONT
THAT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS DAY 4 AND INTO THE SRN
PLAINS BY DAY 5. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ELY UPSLOPE COMPONENT IN
VICINITY OF FRONT TO MAINTAIN AXIS OF HIGHER DEWPOINTS INTO THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS WITH STRONGER INSTABILITY IN WARM SECTOR FARTHER EAST
OVER THE SRN PLAINS. SCENARIO APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR NW FLOW SEVERE
EVENTS OVER THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS AREAS. STORMS MAY DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOONS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS THEN SPREAD SEWD AS MCSS
INTO THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS DAY 4 AND SRN PLAINS DAY 5.
..DIAL.. 05/29/2007
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