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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 26, 2015
Updated: Sun Apr 26 19:19:02 UTC 2015  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Tue, Apr 28, 2015 - Wed, Apr 29, 2015 D6Fri, May 01, 2015 - Sat, May 02, 2015
D4Wed, Apr 29, 2015 - Thu, Apr 30, 2015 D7Sat, May 02, 2015 - Sun, May 03, 2015
D5Thu, Apr 30, 2015 - Fri, May 01, 2015 D8Sun, May 03, 2015 - Mon, May 04, 2015
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 261917

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0217 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

   VALID 281200Z - 041200Z

   MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE
   DAY 3-8 PERIOD. MAINLY QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE SOME ELEVATED CONDITIONS ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY MID TO LATE WEEK. 

   THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON DAY 3/TUE WILL TRACK
   EASTWARD...BECOMING AN OPEN WAVE OVER THE MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY.
   THIS SYSTEM WILL MERGE WITH ANOTHER UPPER LOW DROPPING SOUTHEAST OUT
   OF CANADA AROUND DAY 5/THU OR DAY 6/FRI AND SLOWLY CONTINUE TO LIFT
   NORTHEAST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. IN
   THE WAKE OF THIS UPPER TROUGH/LOW SYSTEM...AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
   WESTERN U.S. WILL TRACK ACROSS THE ROCKIES TOWARD THE PLAINS. THE
   RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN ON DAY 4/WED AND 5/THU AS AN UPPER
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKS EAST ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER IN THE
   VICINITY OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL FOLLOW
   QUICKLY ON ITS HEELS ON DAY 6/FRI AND DAY 7/SAT. THE ASSOCIATED
   SURFACE LOW/TROUGH THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
   COMBINED WITH ENHANCED DEEP LAYER WESTERLIES COULD LEAD TO SOME
   ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY IN RH VALUES
   AS WELL AS PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL OVER THAT REGION THE NEXT FEW
   DAYS WILL PRECLUDE THE INCLUSION OF ANY HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.

   ..LEITMAN.. 04/26/2015

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: April 26, 2015
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