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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on May 22, 2013
Updated: Wed May 22 20:39:02 UTC 2013  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
D3 63,304 579,946 Flagstaff, AZ...St. George, UT...Gallup, NM...Tuba City, AZ...Show Low, AZ...
D4 64,350 506,446 Flagstaff, AZ...St. George, UT...Gallup, NM...Socorro, NM...Tuba City, AZ...
D3Fri, May 24, 2013 - Sat, May 25, 2013 D6Mon, May 27, 2013 - Tue, May 28, 2013
D4Sat, May 25, 2013 - Sun, May 26, 2013 D7Tue, May 28, 2013 - Wed, May 29, 2013
D5Sun, May 26, 2013 - Mon, May 27, 2013 D8Wed, May 29, 2013 - Thu, May 30, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 222037
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0337 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
   
   VALID 241200Z - 301200Z
   
   OVERALL...THE SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE WARM AND DRY.  THE EXCEPTION
   IS THAT SOME BENEFICIAL RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ON DAYS 3/4 AND
   5/FRI-SUN...OVER THE EASTERN 1/3 OF NEW MEXICO AND THE TX PANHANDLE
   WERE FUELS HAVE BEEN VERY DRY WITH LONG TERM DROUGHT.  
   
   DAYS 3-5/FRI-SUN...UPPER LOW OVER NW AND TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST
   WILL CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGE HOLDS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S.  THE UPPER
   TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL ROTATE NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND BY
   MONDAY.  A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE OF
   THE WESTERN TROUGH AND INCREASE THE WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WITH
   A CRITICAL AREA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY FOR PARTS OF NRN AZ/NM WITH
   AN ELEVATED AREA FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FOR PARTS OF ERN AZ AND
   WRN/CNTRL NM.  
   
   DAYS 6-8/MON-WED...MODELS DIFFER ON ANY EWD PROGRESSION OF WRN U.S.
   TROUGH BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AND AFTER SOME ELEVATED CONDITIONS IN ERN
   AZ/WRN NM ON MONDAY...WILL NOT HIGHLIGHT ANY SPECIFIC AREA FOR DAYS
   7-8/TUE-WED EXCEPT TO NOTE THAT OVERALL DRY/WARM CONDITIONS WILL
   CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF ARIZONA AND THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF NEW
   MEXICO.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 05/22/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: May 22, 2013
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