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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jul 24, 2014
Updated: Thu Jul 24 19:23:03 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sat, Jul 26, 2014 - Sun, Jul 27, 2014 D6Tue, Jul 29, 2014 - Wed, Jul 30, 2014
D4Sun, Jul 27, 2014 - Mon, Jul 28, 2014 D7Wed, Jul 30, 2014 - Thu, Jul 31, 2014
D5Mon, Jul 28, 2014 - Tue, Jul 29, 2014 D8Thu, Jul 31, 2014 - Fri, Aug 01, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 241914

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0214 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

   VALID 261200Z - 011200Z

   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN PORTION OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE
   PROVINCES WILL TRACK SE INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
   REGION...RESULTING IN A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE ERN STATES THROUGH
   MONDAY/DAY 5. SEVERAL WEAKER IMPULSES WILL MAINTAIN THIS TROUGH
   THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOME ENHANCED WLY FLOW WILL
   BE POSSIBLE ON DAY 3/SAT ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE
   CNTRL ROCKIES AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH BEGINS TO TRACK
   SEWD TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST. AS A RESULT...MARGINALLY DRY RH
   VALUES FROM ERN MT AND THE WRN DAKOTAS...AND ACROSS PARTS OF SRN
   WY...WILL ALIGN WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS ON DAY 3.

   ACROSS THE WEST...HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO WESTERN CANADA DURING THE DAY 3-8 PERIOD.
   THIS WILL RESULT IN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRYING WITH HOT CONDITIONS
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN STATES. AS MODEST MIDLEVEL MOISTURE
   MIGRATES NWD BENEATH THE RIDGE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
   PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE NRN ROCKIES...WITH DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS POTENTIALLY A CONCERN DURING THE WEEKEND AND INTO
   EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE LACK OF ANY STRONGER FORCING MECHANISM
   IMPINGING ON THE WESTERN STATES...DRY LIGHTNING THREAT EACH DAY
   SHOULD REMAIN RATHER UNFOCUSED AND GENERALLY SPORADIC/ISOLATED. AS
   SUCH...CONFIDENCE IS LOW BEYOND ABOUT DAY 4/SUN WHERE/IF GREATER DRY
   THUNDERSTORM THREAT MAY ALIGN WITH FAVORABLE DRY FUEL CONDITIONS.

   ..LEITMAN.. 07/24/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: July 24, 2014
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