ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122018
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012
   
   VALID 141200Z - 201200Z
   
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DURING THE DAY 3-8
   PERIOD. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE BECOMING MORE CONSISTENT THROUGH THE
   END OF THE WORK WEEK BEFORE LARGER DISCREPANCIES BEGIN DEVELOPING
   TOWARD THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. IN GENERAL...A MEAN WESTERN
   TROUGH IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY/DAY 3 WITH AN UPPER LOW POSITIONED
   OVER THE LOWER COLORADO VALLEY. AS THIS SYSTEM EJECTS EWD THROUGH
   DAY 4/WEDNESDAY...SWLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN
   NM/WRN TX INTO THE SRN PLAINS. WHILE THE INITIAL AIR MASS WILL NOT
   BE OVERLY DRY ON DAY 3...BY DAY 4 PW VALUES LOOK TO FALL BELOW 0.20
   INCHES WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO AROUND 60. AS A LEE LOW DEVELOPS
   AND TRACKS EWD ACROSS NRN OK...A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND
   S/SWWD INTO WRN TX AND SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
   RESULT IN DRYING CONDITIONS AND ELEVATED FIRE POTENTIAL MAY BE
   POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION PRIOR TO DAY 4 AND ONLY MARGINALLY
   LOW RH/WIND SPEED CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE THE THREAT
   IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED AT THIS TIME.
   
   OTHERWISE...A PERIOD OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE WEST WILL BE
   SHORT LIVED DURING THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS ANOTHER SERIES OF
   TROUGHS/UPPER LOWS HEAD TOWARD THE PAC NW AND PROGRESS S/SEWD
   THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
   
   ..LEITMAN.. 02/12/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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