Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
PDF. Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics.
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ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 212040
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0240 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018
Valid 231200Z - 291200Z
Fire weather concerns will likely be tied to surface troughing
across the Great Plains in the lee of the Rockies from D4/Wed
through D6/Fri. The lee troughing will occur in response to an
approaching long-wave trough across the Intermountain West, and
while gusty southerly/southwesterly flow will develop in several
areas, deeper moisture associated with a maritime tropical airmass
should remain mostly confined to the immediate Gulf Coast and into
portions of the Ark-La-Tex. Eventually, a cold front will migrate
southward across the central Plains late in the forecast period,
although the timing and strength of this front remains in question.
...D4/Wed through D6/Fri - portions of the central and southern High
An extended period of southerly flow will occur within a warm and
dry airmass throughout the period. The flow will increase in
response to surface troughing and also increased low-level flow
associated with a developing 850 mb jet. Models are not
particularly consistent with regard to low-level moisture/RH values,
although it appears that at least locally critical conditions will
exist in a few areas during the period - most likely in northeastern
New Mexico and vicinity on D4/Wed and D5/Thu and again farther east
into the Texas Panhandle and perhaps western Oklahoma on D6/Fri. At
least some of the highlighted areas may need probabilistic upgrades
in the next few days as models come into better alignment regarding
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT