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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jul 26, 2016
Updated: Tue Jul 26 21:35:03 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Thu, Jul 28, 2016 - Fri, Jul 29, 2016 D6Sun, Jul 31, 2016 - Mon, Aug 01, 2016
D4Fri, Jul 29, 2016 - Sat, Jul 30, 2016 D7Mon, Aug 01, 2016 - Tue, Aug 02, 2016
D5Sat, Jul 30, 2016 - Sun, Jul 31, 2016 D8Tue, Aug 02, 2016 - Wed, Aug 03, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 262133

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0433 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

   VALID 281200Z - 031200Z

   MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
   DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...BEFORE WEAKENING AND
   SHIFTING EAST THIS WEEKEND. RELATED TO THIS RIDGE
   BREAKDOWN...CYCLONIC FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
   NORTHERN ROCKIES...BRINGING STRONGER MID-LEVEL WEST/SOUTHWESTERLIES
   TO THE REGION.

   ...D4/FRI-D7/MON -- GREAT BASIN/PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN
   ROCKIES...
   MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT
   BASIN LATE THIS WEEK...EVENTUALLY SHIFTING EASTWARD TOWARDS THE
   ROCKIES OVER THE WEEKEND. IN TANDEM WITH THIS
   PROGRESSION...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL SHIFT NORTH/EASTWARD
   ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. DECREASING HEIGHTS
   ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...WITH WEAK IMPULSES EMBEDDED IN
   WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...WILL ALSO AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
   ANTECEDENT HOT/DRY CONDITIONS WILL FURTHER INCREASE THE
   RECEPTIVENESS OF FUELS ACROSS THE REGION...FURTHERING THE POTENTIAL
   FOR LIGHTNING-INDUCED FIRE STARTS LATE WEEK INTO THIS WEEKEND.
   FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOULD BE IN PLACE SUCH THAT AT
   LEAST ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING IS ANTICIPATED...AND THE 10-PERCENT
   AREAS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED WITH MINOR CHANGES.

   FURTHERMORE...INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WILL
   COMBINE WITH DRY AIR ALREADY IN PLACE TO ENHANCE THE FIRE-WEATHER
   THREAT THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANY DRY/WINDY CONDITIONS
   WILL FURTHER EXACERBATE FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS FOLLOWING PERIODS OF
   DRY-THUNDER ACROSS THE REGION. IN TURN...THE 40-PERCENT /MARGINAL/
   AREAS ARE MAINTAINED D5/SAT-D6/SUN AND ANOTHER IS ADDED FOR D7/MON.
   ONGOING UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF THE TROUGH EVOLUTION
   PRECLUDES AN UPGRADE TO 70-PERCENT /CRITICAL/ AT THIS TIME.

   ..PICCA.. 07/26/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: July 26, 2016
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