| D3 | Sun, Mar 16, 2008 - Mon, Mar 17, 2008 | D6 | Wed, Mar 19, 2008 - Thu, Mar 20, 2008 |
| D4 | Mon, Mar 17, 2008 - Tue, Mar 18, 2008 | D7 | Thu, Mar 20, 2008 - Fri, Mar 21, 2008 |
| D5 | Tue, Mar 18, 2008 - Wed, Mar 19, 2008 | D8 | Fri, Mar 21, 2008 - Sat, Mar 22, 2008 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 142344 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0644 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008 VALID 161200Z - 221200Z ...DISCUSSION... A MID-UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL BE THE INDIRECT CATALYST FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR SUNDAY /DAY 3/. UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES WILL DIG ON THE BACKSIDE OF A DEVELOPING WRN CONUS LONGWAVE TROUGH AND THEN EJECT OUT INTO THE SRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS EARLY ON IN THE PERIOD. DETERMINISTIC MODEL OUTPUT SUGGESTS VERY STRONG MID-LEVEL WINDS /AOA 90 KTS/ WILL BE OVER TOP PORTIONS OF SE AZ AND SW NM ON SUNDAY. LOW RH IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THIS GENERAL REGION BASED LARGELY ON MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO SUGGEST LITTLE...IF ANY PRECIP TO OCCUR DURING THE PREVIOUS 2 DAYS. DESPITE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN MODEL OUTPUT...STRONG TO VERY STRONG SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE FORSEEN TO BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY SUNDAY. THEREFORE...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A MIDDLE TO UPPER END FIRE WEATHER THREAT. BEYOND SUNDAY /DAY 3/...THERE IS MODEST AGREEMENT BETWEEN MEDIUM RANGE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ON THE GENERAL EVOLUTION OF THE WRN TROUGH SHIFTING EWD INTO THE CENTRAL AND ERN U.S. DURING THE DAY 5 THROUGH DAY 7 PERIOD. HOWEVER...GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN DETAILS SURROUNDING DAY 4 THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD...WILL REFRAIN FROM HIGHLIGHTING POTENTIAL AREAS. ..SMITH.. 03/14/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$