D3 | Wed, Apr 02, 2008 - Thu, Apr 03, 2008 | D6 | Sat, Apr 05, 2008 - Sun, Apr 06, 2008 |
D4 | Thu, Apr 03, 2008 - Fri, Apr 04, 2008 | D7 | Sun, Apr 06, 2008 - Mon, Apr 07, 2008 |
D5 | Fri, Apr 04, 2008 - Sat, Apr 05, 2008 | D8 | Mon, Apr 07, 2008 - Tue, Apr 08, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 310946 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0446 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008 VALID 021200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO INDICATE A FAIRLY ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE CONUS DURING THE PERIOD. BETTER MODEL RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AMONGST DETERMINISTIC MODEL OUTPUT REGARDING THE SPEED/TIMING OF THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY /DAY 3/ HAS LED TO A POTENTIAL CRITICAL FIRE AREA BEING DELINEATED. THIS IS DUE IN PART TO THE ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST PRECEDING WEDNESDAY AND ANTICIPATED STRENGTHENING FLOW FIELDS ALOFT. WHILE A TREND IN MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL AREA ON THURSDAY /DAY 4/ FOR THE SW U.S. AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...MODEL VARIABILITY CONCERNING THE SPEED/TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM PRECLUDES AN OUTLOOK AREA. BEYOND DAY 4...PREDICTABILITY IS TOO LOW. ..SMITH.. 03/31/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$