D3 | Fri, Jun 06, 2008 - Sat, Jun 07, 2008 | D6 | Mon, Jun 09, 2008 - Tue, Jun 10, 2008 |
D4 | Sat, Jun 07, 2008 - Sun, Jun 08, 2008 | D7 | Tue, Jun 10, 2008 - Wed, Jun 11, 2008 |
D5 | Sun, Jun 08, 2008 - Mon, Jun 09, 2008 | D8 | Wed, Jun 11, 2008 - Thu, Jun 12, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 040858 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0358 AM CDT WED JUN 04 2008 VALID 061200Z - 121200Z ...DISCUSSION... AS THE PLAINS UPPER TROUGH EJECTS NEWD ON FRIDAY /DAY 3/...ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE WRN STATES. CRITICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY OVER SRN/ERN GREAT BASIN AS MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW OVERSPREADS ANTECEDENT DRY AIRMASS ON DAY 3 /FRI/. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF ERN CO...NERN NM AND THE NRN TX PANHANDLE AS MID LEVEL FLOW REMAINS MODERATE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND SFC LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE CO FRONT RANGE SUPPORTING MODERATE SLY WINDS. GIVEN THE RECENT TENDENCY FOR UPPER TROUGHING TO BE STRONGER THAN THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORM IN THE SWRN CONUS ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL HEIGHTS IN THE ERN CONUS...STRONG CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN RECENT ECMWF MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOWING UPPER TROUGHING INTO THE SWRN CONUS ON DAYS 4/5 /SAT-SUN/. THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OVER THE SRN ROCKIES/SWRN STATES DURING THIS PERIOD. SUFFICIENT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING EVOLUTION OF SFC/UPPER AIR PATTERN BEYOND DAY 5 THAT NO OTHER CRITICAL AREAS WILL BE DELINEATED ATTM. ..CROSBIE.. 06/04/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT