D3 | Sat, Aug 23, 2008 - Sun, Aug 24, 2008 | D6 | Tue, Aug 26, 2008 - Wed, Aug 27, 2008 |
D4 | Sun, Aug 24, 2008 - Mon, Aug 25, 2008 | D7 | Wed, Aug 27, 2008 - Thu, Aug 28, 2008 |
D5 | Mon, Aug 25, 2008 - Tue, Aug 26, 2008 | D8 | Thu, Aug 28, 2008 - Fri, Aug 29, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 211024 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0524 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2008 VALID 231200Z - 291200Z ...DISCUSSION... ISOLATED DRY TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN ON SAT/DAY 3 AS MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SLOWLY ENTRAINED NW OF A RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHOULD BE LIMITED WITH A LACK OF ROBUST LARGE-SCALE FORCING. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT THROUGH ABOUT MON/DAY 5 WITH BUILDING THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE FROM THE FOUR CORNERS NWD TO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES...AS A TROUGH AMPLIFIES TOWARDS THE PACIFIC NW/BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. KINEMATIC FIELDS WILL STRENGTHEN WITH APPROACH OF THIS TROUGH. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST FLOW APPEARS TO LAG BEHIND THE SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE...LENDING TO PERHAPS ONLY A NARROW AXIS OF ENHANCED WINDS WHERE WARM/DRY CONDITIONS WILL RESIDE. BEYOND MON/DAY 5...GUIDANCE BECOMES QUITE VARIED WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH...RENDERING LOW PREDICTABILITY. ..GRAMS.. 08/21/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT