| D3 | Mon, Sep 29, 2008 - Tue, Sep 30, 2008 | D6 | Thu, Oct 02, 2008 - Fri, Oct 03, 2008 |
| D4 | Tue, Sep 30, 2008 - Wed, Oct 01, 2008 | D7 | Fri, Oct 03, 2008 - Sat, Oct 04, 2008 |
| D5 | Wed, Oct 01, 2008 - Thu, Oct 02, 2008 | D8 | Sat, Oct 04, 2008 - Sun, Oct 05, 2008 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 270635 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0135 AM CDT SAT SEP 27 2008 VALID 291200Z - 051200Z ...DISCUSSION... A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM THE PACIFIC NWD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA ON MON/D3 WITH GENERALLY WARM CONDITIONS. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SKIRT THE CA AND PACIFIC NW COASTAL AREAS. THE INCREASED SELY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING IN AN INCREASED AMOUNT OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND THUS THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM CNTRL/NRN CA INTO WRN NV AND SRN OREGON. GIVEN ANTECEDENT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS PROGGED WEAK INSTABILITY...MANY OF THESE STORMS COULD BE DRY. WILL HOLD OFF ON A DRY THUNDERSTORM CRITICAL AT THIS TIME...BUT AN AREA COULD BE ADDED AS THE EVENT NEARS AND PREDICTABILITY INCREASES. THE SAME UPPER TROUGH ON D3 WILL PERSIST ON D4...BUT WILL MOVE FARTHER UP THE COAST INTO OREGON AND WA...WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY. FROM DAYS 5 ON...PREDICTABILITY BECOMES QUITE LOW AS THE PATTERN BECOMES HIGHLY AMPLIFIED...AND MODELS DIVERGE IN THEIR RANGE OF SOLUTIONS PAST THE POINT OF PREDICTABILITY. ..JEWELL.. 09/27/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT