D3 | Sun, Oct 12, 2008 - Mon, Oct 13, 2008 | D6 | Wed, Oct 15, 2008 - Thu, Oct 16, 2008 |
D4 | Mon, Oct 13, 2008 - Tue, Oct 14, 2008 | D7 | Thu, Oct 16, 2008 - Fri, Oct 17, 2008 |
D5 | Tue, Oct 14, 2008 - Wed, Oct 15, 2008 | D8 | Fri, Oct 17, 2008 - Sat, Oct 18, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 100945 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0445 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2008 VALID 121200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... MEDIUM RANGE MODEL CONSENSUS/ENSEMBLE CONTINUE TO SHOW A POTENT UPPER SYSTEM INFLUENCING THE WRN CONUS DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVENTUAL EWD PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT STRENGTHENING OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL CONFIDENCE IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A MODERATE SUSTAINED OFFSHORE WIND EVENT/SANTA ANA OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COASTAL CA. LONG RANGE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE ALONG WITH ENSEMBLE APPEAR TO FAVOR A MODERATE OFFSHORE EVENT--WITH DECREASING POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG EVENT. GUIDANCE APPEARS CONSISTENT IN EVENT TIMING--LATE IN THE SUNDAY PERIOD /DAY 3/ THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY HALF OF TUESDAY /DAY 5/. ..SMITH.. 10/10/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT