| D3 | Sun, Nov 02, 2008 - Mon, Nov 03, 2008 | D6 | Wed, Nov 05, 2008 - Thu, Nov 06, 2008 |
| D4 | Mon, Nov 03, 2008 - Tue, Nov 04, 2008 | D7 | Thu, Nov 06, 2008 - Fri, Nov 07, 2008 |
| D5 | Tue, Nov 04, 2008 - Wed, Nov 05, 2008 | D8 | Fri, Nov 07, 2008 - Sat, Nov 08, 2008 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 310953 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0453 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2008 VALID 021200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A MEAN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE WRN U.S. FROM D3 TO D5 BEFORE EJECTING EWD INTO THE PLAINS ON D6 AND INTO THE ERN U.S. BY D8. FORECAST MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. MODERATE S WINDS AND LOW RH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS INCLUDING ERN NM...SERN CO...WRN OK AND TX ON DAYS 3-5 WITH MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCE OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS APPEARS TO BE ON WED 11/05 WHEN A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS AS THE MAIN TROUGH LIFTS NEWD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON D6-D7 BEHIND THE UPPER TROUGH...RESULTING IN A FAVORABLE SETUP FOR DRY OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS SRN CA AND THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. GIVEN A PERFECT PROG OF THE CURRENT FORECAST SCENARIO...A STRONG SANTA WIND EVENT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY...BUT A WEAK TO MODERATE ONE DOES. THE MOST LIKELY DAY FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS SRN CA IS ON D7 11/6. ..JEWELL.. 10/31/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT