| D3 | Mon, Nov 03, 2008 - Tue, Nov 04, 2008 | D6 | Thu, Nov 06, 2008 - Fri, Nov 07, 2008 |
| D4 | Tue, Nov 04, 2008 - Wed, Nov 05, 2008 | D7 | Fri, Nov 07, 2008 - Sat, Nov 08, 2008 |
| D5 | Wed, Nov 05, 2008 - Thu, Nov 06, 2008 | D8 | Sat, Nov 08, 2008 - Sun, Nov 09, 2008 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 010954
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 AM CDT SAT NOV 01 2008
VALID 031200Z - 091200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A MEAN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE WRN U.S. FROM D3 TO D4
BEFORE EJECTING EWD INTO THE PLAINS ON D5. LITTLE OVERALL PATTERN
VARIABILITY AMONGST DETERMINISTIC LONG RANGE MODELS APPEARS TO
EXIST. SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES...SUCH AS STRENGTH AND SPEED OF
SYSTEM...ARE EVIDENT HOWEVER.
IT APPEARS LEE SURFACE TROUGHING IS LIKELY DAYS 3-4. AS A
RESULT...MODERATE S WINDS AND LOW RH WILL PROBABLY EXIST ACROSS THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS INCLUDING ERN NM...SERN CO...WRN OK AND TX DURING
THIS PERIOD WITH MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
CRITICAL CONDITIONS BECOME MORE OF A POTENTIAL LIKELY SCENARIO ON
WED 11/05 AS A MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AND THE MAIN
TROUGH LIFTS NEWD.
FURTHER W...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON D5-D6
BEHIND THE UPPER TROUGH...RESULTING IN A FAVORABLE SETUP FOR DRY
OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS SRN CA AND THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. A
POTENTIAL DAY FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS MAY EXIST ACROSS SRN CA
ON D6 11/6.
..SMITH.. 11/01/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
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