D3 | Fri, Dec 12, 2008 - Sat, Dec 13, 2008 | D6 | Mon, Dec 15, 2008 - Tue, Dec 16, 2008 |
D4 | Sat, Dec 13, 2008 - Sun, Dec 14, 2008 | D7 | Tue, Dec 16, 2008 - Wed, Dec 17, 2008 |
D5 | Sun, Dec 14, 2008 - Mon, Dec 15, 2008 | D8 | Wed, Dec 17, 2008 - Thu, Dec 18, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 100839 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0239 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008 VALID 121200Z - 181200Z ...DISCUSSION... A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE WILL OCCUR OVER THE EXTENDED AS THE EAST COAST TROUGH FINALLY EXITS AND A LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WRN STATES. THIS TROUGH WILL BE REINFORCED BY A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS. BY DAY 3 THE FIRST SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WITH A STRONG JET AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THIS JET CORE WILL OVERSPREAD STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE SWRN STATES...AND STRONG SWLY/SLY WINDS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS BY DAYS 4 TO 5. LEE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR INVOF THE KS/CO BORDERS ON DAY 4 IN RESPONSE TO THIS...WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS ERN NM/WRN TX AND OK...AND SWRN KS. ALTHOUGH THE TIMING OF A COLD FRONT ON DAY 5 IS UNCERTAIN...IT APPEARS POSSIBLE THAT ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ACROSS WRN TX. AS THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR WRN PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS. ADDITIONAL CRITICAL AREAS MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES. ..HURLBUT.. 12/10/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT