Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Sat, Oct 06, 2012 - Sun, Oct 07, 2012 | D6 | Tue, Oct 09, 2012 - Wed, Oct 10, 2012 |
| D4 | Sun, Oct 07, 2012 - Mon, Oct 08, 2012 | D7 | Wed, Oct 10, 2012 - Thu, Oct 11, 2012 |
| D5 | Mon, Oct 08, 2012 - Tue, Oct 09, 2012 | D8 | Thu, Oct 11, 2012 - Fri, Oct 12, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 042017 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0317 PM CDT THU OCT 04 2012 VALID 061200Z - 121200Z LARGE-SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING EWD. SFC HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WILL MAINTAIN A SEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS OVER MUCH OF THE GREAT PLAINS AND MS RIVER VALLEY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE...A LARGE PACIFIC CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD...AND IS FORECAST TO BE POSITIONED NEAR THE SRN CA COAST BY WED/D7...WITH WEAK UPPER RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE SRN/CNTRL ROCKIES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN NWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST...MITIGATING FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. ...SAT/D3 -- S-CNTRL WA...N-CNTRL/NWRN ORE... A WEAKENING OF THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL OCCUR AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES REPOSITIONED OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES. THUS...SLIGHTLY WEAKER ELY WINDS /COMPARED TO FRI/D2/ ARE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL/NWRN ORE AND S-CNTRL WA /INCLUDING THE COLUMBIA GORGE/. A PERSISTENT DRY AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO YIELD RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE LOWER TEENS DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN FAVORED PASSES AND MOUNTAIN RIDGE TOPS. ..ROGERS.. 10/04/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT