Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Sun, Nov 04, 2012 - Mon, Nov 05, 2012 | D6 | Wed, Nov 07, 2012 - Thu, Nov 08, 2012 |
| D4 | Mon, Nov 05, 2012 - Tue, Nov 06, 2012 | D7 | Thu, Nov 08, 2012 - Fri, Nov 09, 2012 |
| D5 | Tue, Nov 06, 2012 - Wed, Nov 07, 2012 | D8 | Fri, Nov 09, 2012 - Sat, Nov 10, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 022137 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0437 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST THROUGH THE EXTENDED. INITIAL WRN UPPER RIDGE AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LEAD TO A MARGINAL FIRE THREAT OVER COASTAL SRN CA THROUGH TUE/D4. MEANWHILE...BY TUE/D4...A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE UPPER TROUGHS WILL PHASE TOGETHER OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION...LEADING TO THE EVENTUAL INTENSIFICATION OF A POSSIBLE NOR'EASTER THAT WILL PROGRESS UP THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO ERN CANADA BY FRIDAY. STRENGTHENING NWLY FLOW IN ITS WAKE WILL ADVECT COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHEAST...POSSIBLY SUPPORTING AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT WED/D5-FRI/D7. LATE IN THE EXTENDED...A BREAK DOWN OF THE WRN RIDGE IS EXPECTED...WITH SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND ROCKIES SUPPORTING STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERAL CRITICAL DELINEATIONS AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES. ..DISPIGNA.. 11/02/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT