Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Fri, Nov 09, 2012 - Sat, Nov 10, 2012 | D6 | Mon, Nov 12, 2012 - Tue, Nov 13, 2012 |
| D4 | Sat, Nov 10, 2012 - Sun, Nov 11, 2012 | D7 | Tue, Nov 13, 2012 - Wed, Nov 14, 2012 |
| D5 | Sun, Nov 11, 2012 - Mon, Nov 12, 2012 | D8 | Wed, Nov 14, 2012 - Thu, Nov 15, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 072023 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0223 PM CST WED NOV 07 2012 VALID 091200Z - 151200Z ...INCREASING FIRE THREAT EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS FRI-SAT... A DRY ANTECEDENT AIR MASS IS LINGERING OVER PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS...WHICH WILL SUPPORT A HEIGHTENED THREAT OF FIRE SPREAD AS A POWERFUL WRN TROUGH LEADS TO STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS BUT LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE D1/D2 WED/THU PERIODS...WHILE A SUBTLE INCREASE IN PACIFIC MOISTURE IS EXPECTED BY D3/4 FRI/SAT. AS SUCH...A MISALIGNMENT OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DESPITE MARGINAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FOR D3/4 FRI/SAT...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH /WITH HIGHER GUSTS/ ENHANCING THE THREAT OF FIRE SPREAD WHERE GRASSES HAVE BECOME DORMANT. ERN MOST EXTENT OF THE HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT MAY ALSO VARY SLIGHTLY...DEPENDING ON THE PRECISE LOCATION OF THE DRYLINE...AND MAY BE ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. BY D4/SUN...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL HAVE PROGRESSED THROUGH THE REGION...WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES LIMITING THE FIRE THREAT. ...FL... A POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL LINGER ACROSS FL...WITH SEASONABLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE MID 20S ACROSS THE PANHANDLE...AND LOWER 30S OVER INTERIOR N FL. GUSTY ELY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY ENHANCE THE FIRE THREAT. ...SRN CA... MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST A RETURN TO WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST. AN UPPER TROUGH IS SLATED TO PROGRESS INTO SRN CA BY MID-WEEK...THOUGH SOLUTIONS VARY WITH THE PLACEMENT...LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE REGARDING ANY LOW-MID LEVEL ENHANCEMENT TO OFFSHORE WIND SPEEDS. ..DISPIGNA.. 11/07/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT