|
|
|
|
|
Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
|
|
|
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
|
|
|
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
|
|
|
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
|
|
|
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
|
|
|
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
|
| D3 | Sat, Nov 10, 2012 - Sun, Nov 11, 2012 |
D6 | Tue, Nov 13, 2012 - Wed, Nov 14, 2012 |
| D4 | Sun, Nov 11, 2012 - Mon, Nov 12, 2012 |
D7 | Wed, Nov 14, 2012 - Thu, Nov 15, 2012 |
| D5 | Mon, Nov 12, 2012 - Tue, Nov 13, 2012 |
D8 | Thu, Nov 15, 2012 - Fri, Nov 16, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 082108
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 PM CST THU NOV 08 2012
VALID 101200Z - 161200Z
...THREAT OF WIND-DRIVEN FIRES PERSISTING SAT/D3 ACROSS ERN
NM/CO...WRN KS...THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...AND WRN TX...
STRONGEST WINDS APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS THE ADJACENT PLAINS OF THE
CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES FOR SAT/D3 AS A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH
TRAVERSES THROUGH THE WEST. HOWEVER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL...PRECLUDING A CRITICAL
ISSUANCE...THOUGH THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FORECASTS MAY NECESSITATE AN UPGRADE.
THEREAFTER...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE
AREA...MITIGATING FIRE CONCERNS.
...SRN CA...
A RETURN TO WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW IS POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
SURFACE HIGH BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST. HOWEVER...MODEL SOLUTIONS
SUGGEST A WEAK EVENT...WITH LITTLE LOW-MID LEVEL ENHANCEMENT TO
OFFSHORE WIND SPEEDS. AS SUCH...NO HIGHLIGHTS APPEAR WARRANTED AT
THIS TIME.
..DISPIGNA.. 11/08/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT