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Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Mon, Nov 19, 2012 - Tue, Nov 20, 2012 |
D6 | Thu, Nov 22, 2012 - Fri, Nov 23, 2012 |
| D4 | Tue, Nov 20, 2012 - Wed, Nov 21, 2012 |
D7 | Fri, Nov 23, 2012 - Sat, Nov 24, 2012 |
| D5 | Wed, Nov 21, 2012 - Thu, Nov 22, 2012 |
D8 | Sat, Nov 24, 2012 - Sun, Nov 25, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 172127
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 PM CST SAT NOV 17 2012
VALID 191200Z - 251200Z
A PROGRESSIVE...LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER WAVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD...WITH A TENDENCY FOR TROUGH
AMPLIFICATION OVER THE ERN CONUS...WHILE THE POLAR JET GENERALLY
REMAINS CONFINED TO THE NRN LATITUDES OF THE CONUS. WITHIN THIS FLOW
REGIME...PERIODIC INCREASES IN BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER
THE GREAT PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO LEE SFC TROUGH DEVELOPMENT AND
FRONTAL PASSAGES...BUT BOTH WIND/RH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SUB-CRITICAL.
..ROGERS.. 11/17/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT