Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Thu, Dec 06, 2012 - Fri, Dec 07, 2012 | D6 | Sun, Dec 09, 2012 - Mon, Dec 10, 2012 |
| D4 | Fri, Dec 07, 2012 - Sat, Dec 08, 2012 | D7 | Mon, Dec 10, 2012 - Tue, Dec 11, 2012 |
| D5 | Sat, Dec 08, 2012 - Sun, Dec 09, 2012 | D8 | Tue, Dec 11, 2012 - Wed, Dec 12, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 042002 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0202 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012 VALID 061200Z - 121200Z FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED THROUGH THE DAY 3-8 PERIOD. A BROAD TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CONUS ON DAY 3/THU WILL PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD. SEVERAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ROTATING THROUGH LARGER SCALE FLOW WILL REINFORCE AND AMPLIFY THE TROUGH BY THE WEEKEND. THE MOST NOTABLE IMPULSE CONTRIBUTING TO STRENGTHENING/DEEPENING OF THIS TROUGH WILL DROP SEWD FROM THE PAC NW TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWESTERN DESERTS ON DAY 6/SUN. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM ON SUNDAY FROM SRN CA INTO THE SRN PLAINS. RECENT RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SRN CA WILL HELP TO LIMIT FIRE WEATHER THREAT. FURTHER EAST ACROSS AZ/NM AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS...COOL TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN HIGHER RH VALUES WILL LIMIT FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL DESPITE ONGOING DROUGHT. BEYOND DAY 6...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS DIFFER IN THE EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH...LEADING TO HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST CONDITIONS. ..LEITMAN.. 12/04/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT