Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Tue, Dec 11, 2012 - Wed, Dec 12, 2012 | D6 | Fri, Dec 14, 2012 - Sat, Dec 15, 2012 |
| D4 | Wed, Dec 12, 2012 - Thu, Dec 13, 2012 | D7 | Sat, Dec 15, 2012 - Sun, Dec 16, 2012 |
| D5 | Thu, Dec 13, 2012 - Fri, Dec 14, 2012 | D8 | Sun, Dec 16, 2012 - Mon, Dec 17, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 092129 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0329 PM CST SUN DEC 09 2012 VALID 111200Z - 171200Z AN AMPLIFIED PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR REGIME WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A NOTEWORTHY SIGNAL IN THE MODELS SHOWS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SUBSTANTIAL UPPER TROUGH/CLOSED LOW OVER THE DESERT SW BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. SIZABLE TIMING DIFFERENCES REMAIN REGARDING THE PLACEMENT OF THIS FEATURE AS IT EJECTS EWD INTO THE CNTRL STATES BY FRIDAY. NONETHELESS...STRONG TROPOSPHERIC FLOW FIELDS WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM OF THIS DISTURBANCE ON THURSDAY /D5/ OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY /D6/ AS IT MOVES INTO THE SRN-CNTRL HIGH PLAINS STATES. WILL REFRAIN FROM DELINEATING A HIGH CONFIDENCE AREA FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS FOR THE TIME BEING UNTIL BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT REDUCES TIMING UNCERTAINTY. ..SMITH.. 12/09/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT