Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Wed, Dec 12, 2012 - Thu, Dec 13, 2012 | D6 | Sat, Dec 15, 2012 - Sun, Dec 16, 2012 |
| D4 | Thu, Dec 13, 2012 - Fri, Dec 14, 2012 | D7 | Sun, Dec 16, 2012 - Mon, Dec 17, 2012 |
| D5 | Fri, Dec 14, 2012 - Sat, Dec 15, 2012 | D8 | Mon, Dec 17, 2012 - Tue, Dec 18, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 102054 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0254 PM CST MON DEC 10 2012 VALID 121200Z - 181200Z MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT AN AMPLIFIED PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR REGIME WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST ON WEDNESDAY /D3/ WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE CNTRL STATES BY FRIDAY /D5/. ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL POSSIBLY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY /D3/ INVOF A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL LEE TROUGH. A CONTINUATION OF ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR DURING PEAK HEATING ON THURSDAY OVER THE SAME REGION. FAIRLY LARGE MODEL SPREAD IS EVIDENT IN MEDIUM RANGE MODELS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THE SWRN U.S. TROUGH INTO THE CNTRL STATES BY FRIDAY /D5/. POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEARS GREATEST ON FRIDAY /D5/ OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...BUT SUFFICIENTLY LARGE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME PRECLUDES A HIGHER CONFIDENCE RISK AREA. ..SMITH.. 12/10/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT