Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Sat, Dec 15, 2012 - Sun, Dec 16, 2012 | D6 | Tue, Dec 18, 2012 - Wed, Dec 19, 2012 |
| D4 | Sun, Dec 16, 2012 - Mon, Dec 17, 2012 | D7 | Wed, Dec 19, 2012 - Thu, Dec 20, 2012 |
| D5 | Mon, Dec 17, 2012 - Tue, Dec 18, 2012 | D8 | Thu, Dec 20, 2012 - Fri, Dec 21, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 132106 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0306 PM CST THU DEC 13 2012 VALID 151200Z - 211200Z AN ACTIVE PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD FEATURING A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES MOVING EWD ACROSS THE CONUS. A NON-ZERO PROBABILITY OF LOW RH/STRONG WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF NW/W TX EWD INTO N-CNTRL TX AND S-CNTRL OK ON SATURDAY /D3/...BUT LOW PROBABILITY FOR CRITICAL RH PRECLUDES A LOW PROBABILITY AREA AT THIS TIME. LATER IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SIGNAL THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW/LEE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS DOWNSTREAM OF AN UPPER TROUGH SITUATED OVER THE WEST COAST ON TUESDAY /D6/. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES REGARDING THE MAGNITUDE OF LOW RH...THEN AN EXPANSION IN AREA/HIGHER PROBABILITY AREA MAY BE NEEDED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS. MODEL VARIABILITY BEYOND TUESDAY /D6/ PRECLUDES ADDITIONAL POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER RISK AREA/S/. ..SMITH.. 12/13/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT