Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Mon, Dec 17, 2012 - Tue, Dec 18, 2012 | D6 | Thu, Dec 20, 2012 - Fri, Dec 21, 2012 |
| D4 | Tue, Dec 18, 2012 - Wed, Dec 19, 2012 | D7 | Fri, Dec 21, 2012 - Sat, Dec 22, 2012 |
| D5 | Wed, Dec 19, 2012 - Thu, Dec 20, 2012 | D8 | Sat, Dec 22, 2012 - Sun, Dec 23, 2012 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 151929 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0129 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 VALID 171200Z - 231200Z ...D4/TUE - TX/OK PANHANDLES...FAR WRN OK...PORTIONS OF NERN/E-CNTRL NM... UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE W COAST WILL AID IN LEE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS ON TUE. AS A RESULT...LOW-LEVEL SWLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND LEAD TO SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS FROM 15-25 MPH. IN ADDITION...ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON HIGHS COMBINED WITH A DRY ANTECEDENT AIRMASS WILL FAVOR MIN RH VALUES IN THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S. THESE CONDITIONS WILL YIELD AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ...D5/WED - SRN PLAINS... A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE ARE FORECAST TO EJECT EWD INTO THE GREAT PLAINS ON WED. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENT OVER THE SRN PLAINS...WITH SURFACE WIND SPEEDS RANGING FROM 20-40 MPH. ATTM...MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES COOL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES MAY PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL RH VALUES. THUS...AN UPGRADE WILL CONTINUE TO BE DEFERRED TO FUTURE OUTLOOKS. ...D6/THU - SRN PLAINS... THE STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE GREAT PLAINS ON WED WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE ERN CONUS ON THU. DRY AND WINDY POST FRONTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORED OVER THE SRN PLAINS. HOWEVER...COOL TEMPERATURES AND QUESTIONABLE FUEL CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRE PROBABILITIES ATTM. ..GARNER.. 12/15/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT