Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Updated: Wed Dec 19 20:02:03 UTC 2012

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 19, 2012

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Fri, Dec 21, 2012 - Sat, Dec 22, 2012 D6Mon, Dec 24, 2012 - Tue, Dec 25, 2012
D4Sat, Dec 22, 2012 - Sun, Dec 23, 2012 D7Tue, Dec 25, 2012 - Wed, Dec 26, 2012
D5Sun, Dec 23, 2012 - Mon, Dec 24, 2012 D8Wed, Dec 26, 2012 - Thu, Dec 27, 2012
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 192001
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0201 PM CST WED DEC 19 2012
   
   VALID 211200Z - 271200Z
   
   A SURFACE AND UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY MORNING WILL
   SLOWLY MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A COLD AND DRY
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SRN U.S. SHIFTS EASTWARD.  THE UPPER
   FLOW WILL BE COME MORE ZONAL/WESTERLY OVER THE WEEKEND BEFORE AN
   UPPER TROUGH BUILDS INTO THE WEST COAST BY LATE SUNDAY.  NO LARGE
   SCALE FIRE WEATHER AREAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY/D5.  
   
   THEREAFTER...THERE ARE INCREASINGLY LARGE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL
   SURFACE AND UPPER AIR PATTERNS FOR EARLY TO MID-WEEK.  THESE
   DIFFERENCES ARE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE IDENTIFYING ANY LARGE
   SCALE FIRE WEATHER AREAS AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 12/19/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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