Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Updated: Thu Dec 20 20:42:03 UTC 2012

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 20, 2012

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Sat, Dec 22, 2012 - Sun, Dec 23, 2012 D6Tue, Dec 25, 2012 - Wed, Dec 26, 2012
D4Sun, Dec 23, 2012 - Mon, Dec 24, 2012 D7Wed, Dec 26, 2012 - Thu, Dec 27, 2012
D5Mon, Dec 24, 2012 - Tue, Dec 25, 2012 D8Thu, Dec 27, 2012 - Fri, Dec 28, 2012
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202040
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0240 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012
   
   VALID 221200Z - 281200Z
   
   THROUGH THE PERIOD...IT WILL BE COLD ACROSS THE NORTH AND COOL TO
   MILD ACROSS THE SOUTH.  THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ZONAL/WESTERLY UPPER
   LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PREVAIL.  LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AN
   UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEST.  MODEL UNCERTAINTY
   INCREASES FROM MON/DAY 5 THOUGH THUR/DAY 8  ON HOW THE WESTERN U.S.
   TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD AND INTENSIFIES OVER THE CENTRAL US.
   
   DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS...HOWEVER NO LARGE
   SCALE FIRE WEATHER AREAS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 12/20/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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