Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Updated: Fri Dec 21 21:31:02 UTC 2012

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 21, 2012

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Sun, Dec 23, 2012 - Mon, Dec 24, 2012 D6Wed, Dec 26, 2012 - Thu, Dec 27, 2012
D4Mon, Dec 24, 2012 - Tue, Dec 25, 2012 D7Thu, Dec 27, 2012 - Fri, Dec 28, 2012
D5Tue, Dec 25, 2012 - Wed, Dec 26, 2012 D8Fri, Dec 28, 2012 - Sat, Dec 29, 2012
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 212130
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0330 PM CST FRI DEC 21 2012
   
   VALID 231200Z - 291200Z
   
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH
   A SERIES OF POTENT UPPER TROUGHS TRAVERSING THE CONUS. IN
   PARTICULAR...A WRN UPPER TROUGH WILL TAKE A SRN TRAJECTORY INTO THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY D4/MON...CONTINUING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND
   INTO THE MID ATLANTIC BY LATE PERIOD D6/THU MORNING. MEANWHILE...AN
   ATTENDANT SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS SEWD THROUGH THE
   WEST AND CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...SUPPORTING BREEZY POST-FRONTAL NLY/NWLY
   WINDS ACROSS S TX ON D5/TUE. THEREAFTER...COOL CONDITIONS SHOULD
   TEMPER THE FIRE THREAT AS THE COLD FRONT PROGRESSES OFFSHORE OF THE
   ATLANTIC COAST BY LATE PERIOD D6/EARLY THU MORNING. HOWEVER...GUSTY
   WINDS MAY PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND FL FOR D7/THU AFTERNOON.
   
   ..DISPIGNA.. 12/21/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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