Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Updated: Sat Dec 22 20:02:03 UTC 2012

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 22, 2012

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Mon, Dec 24, 2012 - Tue, Dec 25, 2012 D6Thu, Dec 27, 2012 - Fri, Dec 28, 2012
D4Tue, Dec 25, 2012 - Wed, Dec 26, 2012 D7Fri, Dec 28, 2012 - Sat, Dec 29, 2012
D5Wed, Dec 26, 2012 - Thu, Dec 27, 2012 D8Sat, Dec 29, 2012 - Sun, Dec 30, 2012
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 222000
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0200 PM CST SAT DEC 22 2012
   
   VALID 241200Z - 301200Z
   
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
   EXTENDED...WITH SEVERAL POWERFUL LOW-LATITUDE UPPER TROUGHS
   TRAVERSING THROUGH THE CONUS. THE FIRST IN THE SERIES WILL REACH THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY MON/D3 AFTERNOON/EVENING...STRENGTHENING DEEP
   LAYER WLYS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND RESULTING IN AN ELEVATED FIRE
   THREAT OVER ERN NM. AS IT CONTINUES EWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS...AN
   ATTENDANT SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS SEWD TO THE
   GULF...SUPPORTING BREEZY POST-FRONTAL WINDS AND A DRIER AIR MASS
   ACROSS CNTRL/SRN TX ON D4/TUE. THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL THEN EJECT NEWD
   TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY AND NORTHEAST...WITH THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT
   PROGRESSING OFFSHORE OF THE ATLANTIC D5/WED EVENING. GUSTY WINDS AND
   A DRIER AIR MASS WILL FOLLOW OVER FL...THOUGH WITH COOLER
   TEMPERATURES AND RAINFALL WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TEMPERING THE
   THREAT. FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...ANOTHER POWERFUL UPPER
   TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST...THOUGH ATTM COOL
   TEMPERATURES MAY HINDER A FIRE THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND SRN
   PLAINS.
   
   ..DISPIGNA.. 12/22/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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