Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Updated: Sun Dec 23 20:10:03 UTC 2012

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 23, 2012

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Tue, Dec 25, 2012 - Wed, Dec 26, 2012 D6Fri, Dec 28, 2012 - Sat, Dec 29, 2012
D4Wed, Dec 26, 2012 - Thu, Dec 27, 2012 D7Sat, Dec 29, 2012 - Sun, Dec 30, 2012
D5Thu, Dec 27, 2012 - Fri, Dec 28, 2012 D8Sun, Dec 30, 2012 - Mon, Dec 31, 2012
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232009
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0209 PM CST SUN DEC 23 2012
   
   VALID 251200Z - 311200Z
   
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL BE ONGOING BY D3/TUE...WITH A
   POWERFUL LOW-LATITUDE LOW QUICKLY TRAVERSING THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS
   AND INTO THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT. AN ATTENDANT SRN PLAINS SURFACE
   COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS SEWD...WITH BREEZY POST-FRONTAL
   WINDS AND A DRIER AIR MASS IN ITS WAKE ACROSS TX. MODEL FORECASTS
   SUGGEST DIURNAL HEATING AND A SUBTLE DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE FLOW
   MAY COMPENSATE FOR STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A
   LIMITED TEMPORAL THREAT OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF
   CNTRL/SRN TX.
   
   FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...ANOTHER POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH WILL
   BECOME HIGHLY AMPLIFIED OVER THE WEST...THOUGH COOL TEMPERATURES ARE
   EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF FAVORABLE FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..DISPIGNA.. 12/23/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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