Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Updated: Tue Dec 25 20:33:04 UTC 2012

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 25, 2012

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Thu, Dec 27, 2012 - Fri, Dec 28, 2012 D6Sun, Dec 30, 2012 - Mon, Dec 31, 2012
D4Fri, Dec 28, 2012 - Sat, Dec 29, 2012 D7Mon, Dec 31, 2012 - Tue, Jan 01, 2013
D5Sat, Dec 29, 2012 - Sun, Dec 30, 2012 D8Tue, Jan 01, 2013 - Wed, Jan 02, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 252031
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0231 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
   
   VALID 271200Z - 021200Z
   
   NO LARGE SCALE FIRE WEATHER AREAS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD.  
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL FEATURE ONE UPPER LOW EXITING
   THE NE WHILE ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE
   WEEK...THROUGH THE MID SECTION OF THE U.S. AND INTO THE EAST BY THE
   WEEKEND.  ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST EARLY NEXT
   WEEK AND PROGRESS TOWARDS THE CENTRAL U.S. BY MID WEEK...ALTHOUGH
   MODEL DIFFERENCES IN THE SPEED AND DEVELOPMENT OF THIS UPPER TROUGH
   ARE APPARENT BY EARLY TO MID WEEK.  
   
   AT THE SURFACE...IT WILL GENERALLY BE COOL TO COLD OVER MUCH OF THE
   NATION.  WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ANOTHER FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE SURFACE
   LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST ON THE WEEKEND...PROGRESSIVE SURGES OF HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. OVER THE
   PERIOD.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 12/25/2012
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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