Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Fri, Dec 28, 2012 - Sat, Dec 29, 2012 | D6 | Mon, Dec 31, 2012 - Tue, Jan 01, 2013 |
| D4 | Sat, Dec 29, 2012 - Sun, Dec 30, 2012 | D7 | Tue, Jan 01, 2013 - Wed, Jan 02, 2013 |
| D5 | Sun, Dec 30, 2012 - Mon, Dec 31, 2012 | D8 | Wed, Jan 02, 2013 - Thu, Jan 03, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 262008 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0208 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012 VALID 281200Z - 031200Z A GENERALLY TRANQUIL FIRE PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN MAINTAINS AN INFLUX OF COLDER AIR AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION /INCLUDING THE SOUTH/. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...AN UPPER LOW WILL TRAVERSE SWD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...WITH MODELS DIVERGING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM THEREAFTER. AT THE LEAST...A COOL OFFSHORE FLOW EVENT APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN CA FOR THE D6-7/MON-TUE TIME PERIOD...THOUGH THE DURATION OF THE EVENT MAY BE LONGER IF THE ECMWF SOLUTION OF DEVELOPING A SLOW-MOVING CUT OFF LOW HOLDS TRUE. GIVEN THE MODEL TENDENCIES IN THE PAST OF EJECTING SIMILAR SYSTEMS TOO FAST...THE POTENTIAL CERTAINLY EXISTS FOR SEVERAL DAYS OF OFFSHORE FLOW...THOUGH THE COOLER TEMPERATURES /AND THEREFORE MARGINAL RELATIVE HUMIDITIES/ COMBINED WITH RECENT RAINFALL WILL NEGATE THE NEED FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF FIRE WEATHER PROBABILITIES. ..DISPIGNA.. 12/26/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT