Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Sat, Dec 29, 2012 - Sun, Dec 30, 2012 | D6 | Tue, Jan 01, 2013 - Wed, Jan 02, 2013 |
| D4 | Sun, Dec 30, 2012 - Mon, Dec 31, 2012 | D7 | Wed, Jan 02, 2013 - Thu, Jan 03, 2013 |
| D5 | Mon, Dec 31, 2012 - Tue, Jan 01, 2013 | D8 | Thu, Jan 03, 2013 - Fri, Jan 04, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 271939 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0139 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012 VALID 291200Z - 041200Z A GENERALLY TRANQUIL FIRE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED AS A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN MAINTAINS AN INFLUX OF COLDER AIR AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AN UPPER LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO TRAVERSE S-SEWD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH MODELS DIVERGING SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE FORECAST EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM. IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST A MINIMAL PERIOD OF COOL OFFSHORE FLOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SRN CA FOR THE D5-6/MON-TUE TIME FRAME...THOUGH THE DURATION OF THE EVENT MAY BE LONGER IF THE ECWMF SOLUTION OF A SLOW MOVING LOW LATITUDE CLOSED LOW HOLDS TRUE. DESPITE THE POTENTIAL FOR OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS SRN CA...SOMEWHAT COOL TEMPERATURES AND SUBSEQUENT MARGINAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AS WELL AS RECENT RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUE TO ARGUE AGAINST THE INTRODUCTION OF FIRE WEATHER PROBABILITIES. ..DISPIGNA.. 12/27/2012 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT