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Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Sun, Jan 06, 2013 - Mon, Jan 07, 2013 |
D6 | Wed, Jan 09, 2013 - Thu, Jan 10, 2013 |
| D4 | Mon, Jan 07, 2013 - Tue, Jan 08, 2013 |
D7 | Thu, Jan 10, 2013 - Fri, Jan 11, 2013 |
| D5 | Tue, Jan 08, 2013 - Wed, Jan 09, 2013 |
D8 | Fri, Jan 11, 2013 - Sat, Jan 12, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 042132
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 PM CST FRI JAN 04 2013
VALID 061200Z - 121200Z
A PROGRESSIVE UPPER WAVE PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN SEASONABLY COOL
CONDITIONS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE CONUS...WITH LITTLE
POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED. A LARGE
CLOSED DEEP-LAYER LOW WILL PROGRESS EWD OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS THROUGH MID-WEEK...POTENTIALLY
RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF TX/OK. IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FEATURE...WEAK OFFSHORE WINDS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS
OF SRN CA ON TUE/D5 AND WED/D6...BUT COOL CONDITIONS AND ANTECEDENT
PRECIPITATION SHOULD LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD...MEDIUM-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN SHOWING A
TROUGH DIGGING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...WITH A BROAD BELT OF STRONG
SWLYS BECOMING ESTABLISHED FROM THE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES...AND MAY RESULT IN INCREASING SFC WINDS ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FINER-SCALE DETAILS...ALONG
WITH THE AMOUNT OF POSSIBLE ANTECEDENT PRECIPITATION...PRECLUDE ANY
HIGHLIGHTS ATTM.
..ROGERS.. 01/04/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT